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Volume 10, Number 2—February 2004
THEME ISSUE
2004 SARS Edition

SARS Epidemiology

SARS Outbreak, Taiwan, 2003

Ying-Hen Hsieh*Comments to Author , Cathy W.S. Chen†, and Sze-Bi Hsu‡
Author affiliations: *National Chung Hsing University, Taichung, Taiwan; †Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan; ‡National Tsing Hua University, Hsinchu, Taiwan

Main Article

Table 1

The model parameter values with 90% confidence interval (CI) and p values, when appropriatea

Parameter Estimated value 90% CI p value
SARSb death rate ρ=0.0062 0.0023 to 0.00101 0.0125
Discharge rate of probable case-patients σ=0.0747 0.000c to 0.1500 <0.0001d
Admission rate of suspected case-patients β=0.3370 0.0814 to 0.5927 0.0336
Reclassification rate from suspected to probable case γ=0.0797 0.0281 to 0.1311 0.0142e
Rule-out rate of suspected cases α=0.4271 0.3571 to 0.5927 -
Proportion of probable cases in suspected class δ=0.4783 - -

aAll rates are per day.
bSARS, severe acute respiratory syndrome.
cMax{0,-0.0046}.
dp value for 1–ρ–σ.
ep value for γδ.

Main Article

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