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Volume 11, Number 8—August 2005

Dispatch

Cost-Benefit of Stockpiling Drugs for Influenza Pandemic

Ran D. Balicer*†Comments to Author , Michael Huerta*, Nadav Davidovitch*†, and Itamar Grotto*†
Author affiliations: *Ministry of Health, Jerusalem, Israel; †Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Be'er-Sheva, Israel

Main Article

Table A1

Health-related parameters included in the model

Variable by age Low risk
High risk
Point estimate Range Point estimate Range Reference
Attack rates (%)
Overall 25 15–35 25 15–35 15
≤18 38.50 23–54 38.50 23–54 15
19–64 17.50 11–25 17.50 11–25 15
≥65 15.50 9–22 15.50 9–22 15
Outpatient visits (per person)
≤18 0.1975 0.165–0.23 0.346 0.259–0.403 15
19–64 0.0625 0.04–0.085 0.1095 0.07–0.149 15
≥65 0.0595 0.045–0.074 0.1045 0.079–0.13 15
Hospitalizations (per 1,000)
≤18 0.5 0.2–2.9 2.9 2.1–9.0 15
19–64 1.465 0.18–2.75 2.985 0.83–5.14 15
≥65 2.25 1.5–3.0 8.5 4.0–13.0 15
Deaths (per 1,000)
≤18 0.024 0.014–0.125 0.22 0.126–7.65 15
19–64 0.037 0.025–0.09 2.91 0.1–5.73 15
≥65 0.42 0.28–0.54 4.195 2.76–5.63 15
Adult workdays lost
≤18 3.7 2–5 3.7 2–5 16
19–64 4.9 3–7 4.9 3–7 16
≥65 0.5 0.25–2 0.5 0.25–2 16
Average hospital stay (d)
≤18 4.0 2–5 4.0 2–5 15
19–64 5.8 2–7 5.8 2–7 15
≥65 7.0 4–9 7.0 4–9 15

Main Article

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