Volume 11, Number 8—August 2005
Dispatch
Cost-Benefit of Stockpiling Drugs for Influenza Pandemic
Ran D. Balicer*†
, Michael Huerta*, Nadav Davidovitch*†, and Itamar Grotto*†
, Michael Huerta*, Nadav Davidovitch*†, and Itamar Grotto*†Table A1
Health-related parameters included in the model
| Variable by age | Low risk |
High risk |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Point estimate | Range | Point estimate | Range | Reference | |
| Attack rates (%) | |||||
| Overall | 25 | 15–35 | 25 | 15–35 | 15 |
| ≤18 | 38.50 | 23–54 | 38.50 | 23–54 | 15 |
| 19–64 | 17.50 | 11–25 | 17.50 | 11–25 | 15 |
| ≥65 | 15.50 | 9–22 | 15.50 | 9–22 | 15 |
| Outpatient visits (per person) | |||||
| ≤18 | 0.1975 | 0.165–0.23 | 0.346 | 0.259–0.403 | 15 |
| 19–64 | 0.0625 | 0.04–0.085 | 0.1095 | 0.07–0.149 | 15 |
| ≥65 | 0.0595 | 0.045–0.074 | 0.1045 | 0.079–0.13 | 15 |
| Hospitalizations (per 1,000) | |||||
| ≤18 | 0.5 | 0.2–2.9 | 2.9 | 2.1–9.0 | 15 |
| 19–64 | 1.465 | 0.18–2.75 | 2.985 | 0.83–5.14 | 15 |
| ≥65 | 2.25 | 1.5–3.0 | 8.5 | 4.0–13.0 | 15 |
| Deaths (per 1,000) | |||||
| ≤18 | 0.024 | 0.014–0.125 | 0.22 | 0.126–7.65 | 15 |
| 19–64 | 0.037 | 0.025–0.09 | 2.91 | 0.1–5.73 | 15 |
| ≥65 | 0.42 | 0.28–0.54 | 4.195 | 2.76–5.63 | 15 |
| Adult workdays lost | |||||
| ≤18 | 3.7 | 2–5 | 3.7 | 2–5 | 16 |
| 19–64 | 4.9 | 3–7 | 4.9 | 3–7 | 16 |
| ≥65 | 0.5 | 0.25–2 | 0.5 | 0.25–2 | 16 |
| Average hospital stay (d) | |||||
| ≤18 | 4.0 | 2–5 | 4.0 | 2–5 | 15 |
| 19–64 | 5.8 | 2–7 | 5.8 | 2–7 | 15 |
| ≥65 | 7.0 | 4–9 | 7.0 | 4–9 | 15 |
