Volume 12, Number 1—January 2006
Research
Real-time Forecast of Multiphase Outbreak
Ying-Hen Hsieh*
and Yuan-Sen Cheng*
and Yuan-Sen Cheng*
Table 2
Estimates of tmin using incidence curve starting on April 18
| End date | Turning point | 95% CI* |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30 | 5.08 | 4.92–5.24 |
| May 2 | 5.54 | 5.38–5.70 |
| May 4 | 4.83 | 4.67–4.99 |
| May 6 | 7.20 | 7.04–7.36 |
| May 8 | 8.18 | 8.02–8.34 |
| May 10 | 6.50 | 6.34–6.66 |
| May 12 | 8.18 | 8.02–8.34 |
| May 14 | 7.65 | 7.49–7.81 |
| May 16 | 8.08 | 7.92–8.24 |
| May 18 | 9.11 | 8.95–9.27 |
| May 20 | 9.11 | 8.95–9.27 |
*CI, confidence interval.
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