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Volume 12, Number 11—November 2006

Research

Targeted Social Distancing Designs for Pandemic Influenza

Robert J. Glass*Comments to Author , Laura M. Glass†, Walter E. Beyeler*, and H. Jason Min*
Author affiliations: *Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA; †Albuquerque Public High School, Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA

Main Article

Figure 5

Branching factor and the approximation of the reproductive number Ro. A) Overall and age class–specific branching factors as a function of generation averaged over 100 simulations. The standard deviations of these averages can be large (<0.72 at the peak value for teenagers) and reflect the heterogeneity within the person contact networks and from community to community. B) Branching factors for overall average and 3 example simulations compared with the bulk ratio of infections in a generati

Figure 5. Branching factor and the approximation of the reproductive number Ro. A) Overall and age class–specific branching factors as a function of generation averaged over 100 simulations. The standard deviations of these averages can be large (<0.72 at the peak value for teenagers) and reflect the heterogeneity within the person contact networks and from community to community. B) Branching factors for overall average and 3 example simulations compared with the bulk ratio of infections in a generation to those in the previous generation pooled across 100 simulations. We chose the maximum value of the bulk ratio (1.6) as an approximation of the reproductive number Ro.

Main Article

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