Targeted Social Distancing Designs for Pandemic Influenza
Figure 7. Fraction of unmitigated base case attack rate for targeted social distancing of children and teenagers as a function of A) implementation policy threshold given by the number of symptomatic cases (compliance at 90%) and B) compliance with staying at home (implementation policy threshold at 10 symptomatic cases, 0% compliance closes schools alone). Each point represents the average of simulations of 100 that yielded epidemics (>100 infected). Standard deviations for variation of threshold are <3% of the total population. However, for compliance variation, standard deviations increase to a maximum of 7% of the total population at a compliance of 30%.