Volume 12, Number 12—December 2006
Research
Evaluating Detection of an Inhalational Anthrax Outbreak
David L. Buckeridge*
, Douglas K. Owens†‡, Paul Switzer‡, John Frank§, and Mark A. Musen‡
, Douglas K. Owens†‡, Paul Switzer‡, John Frank§, and Mark A. Musen‡Table 2
Average numbers of persons infected and average times to outbreak detection through clinical case finding for 3 release scenarios*
| Amount released (kg) | Mean no. infected | Mean days to detection |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 49,000 | 3.7 (2.5, 5.0) |
| 0.1 | 31,000 | 3.9 (2.7, 5.3) |
| 0.01 | 15,000 | 4.1 (2.9, 5.5)
*Values in parentheses are 10th and 90th percentiles of the distribution. *Values in parentheses are 10th and 90th percentiles of the distribution. |
*Values in parentheses are 10th and 90th percentiles of the distribution.
