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Volume 12, Number 2—February 2006

Research

Epizootiologic Parameters for Plague in Kazakhstan

Michael Begon*Comments to Author , Nikolay Klassovskiy†, Vladimir Ageyev†, Bakhtiar Suleimenov†, Bakhyt Atshabar†, and Malcolm Bennett*
Author affiliations: *University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom; †Kazakh Scientific Centre for Quarantine and Zoonotic Diseases, Almaty, Kazakhstan

Main Article

Table 1

Estimates of coefficients, standard errors, and significance based on z tests for optimal generalized linear model for whether animals were recaptured after release

Comparator Effect Estimate Standard error z value p(>|z|) value*
Intercept –0.098 0.17 –0.59 0.56
Summer Winter –1.12 0.20 –5.48 4.3 × 10-8
Adult Subadult 0.09 0.23 0.41 0.69
Adult Juvenile –0.50 0.32 –1.57 0.12
Year 1 Year 2 –1.23 0.25 –5.00 5.5 × 10-7
Year 1 Year 3 –4.85 1.49 –3.25 0.0011
Antibody negative Positive –0.30 0.16 –1.90 0.058
Summer × year 1 Winter × year 2 0.85 0.34 –2.47 0.014
Summer × year 1 Winter × year 3 4.12 1.48 2.80 0.0051
Adult × year 1 Subadult × year 2 0.99 0.35 2.85 0.0044
Adult × year 1 Subadult × year 3 1.32 0.48 2.77 0.0056
Adult × year 1 Juvenile × year 2 2.43 1.55 1.57 0.12
Adult × year 1 Juvenile × year 3 3.70 1.21 3.05 0.0023

*Probability of exceeding the z value by chance alone.

Main Article

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