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Volume 4, Number 3—September 1998
THEME ISSUE
ICEID 1998

New Agents and Disease Associations

The Emergence of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy and Related Diseases

Sir John Pattison
Author affiliation: Medical School of University College London, London, United Kingdom

Main Article

Table 2

Predictions of new infections and cases of BSEa from 1996-2001b

New Infections
Cases
Year Expected value 95% Prediction interval Expected value 95% Prediction interval
1996 189 (155-11,300) 7,386 (6,541-8,856)
1997 95 (63-236) 4,111 (3,006-7,664)
1998 38 (21-214) 1,864 (1,153-7,052)
1999 12 (5-162) 682 (388-5,909)
2000 3 (1-86) 221 (128-3,660)
2001 1 (0-33) 72 (45-1,592)

aBovine spongiform encephalopathy.
bInformation extracted from (7).

Main Article

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