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Volume 9, Number 8—August 2003

Perspective

Detecting Bioterror Attacks by Screening Blood Donors: A Best-Case Analysis

Edward H. Kaplan*Comments to Author , Christopher A. Patton†, William P. FitzGerald†, and Lawrence M. Wein‡
Author affiliations: *Yale School of Management and Yale Medical School, New Haven, Connecticut, USA; †American Red Cross, Arlington, Virginia, USA; ‡Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA

Main Article

Figure 1

Probability distribution of attack detection delay for a noncontagious agent. Blood donations occur at rate k=0.05 per person per year, the screening test has a mean window period of ω=3 days, and initial attack sizes range from 100 through 1,000 infections.

Figure 1. Probability distribution of attack detection delay for a noncontagious agent. Blood donations occur at rate k=0.05 per person per year, the screening test has a mean window period of ω=3 days, and initial attack sizes range from 100 through 1,000 infections.

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