TY - JOUR AU - Shaman, Jeffrey AU - Stieglitz, Marc AU - Stark, Colin AU - Le Blancq, Sylvie AU - Cane, Mark T1 - Using a Dynamic Hydrology Model To Predict Mosquito Abundances in Flood and Swamp Water T2 - Emerging Infectious Disease journal PY - 2002 VL - 8 IS - 1 SP - 8 SN - 1080-6059 AB - We modeled surface wetness at high resolution, using a dynamic hydrology model, to predict flood and swamp water mosquito abundances. Historical meteorologic data, as well as topographic, soil, and vegetation data, were used to model surface wetness and identify potential fresh and swamp water breeding habitats in two northern New Jersey watersheds. Surface wetness was positively associated with the subsequent abundance of the dominant floodwater mosquito species, Aedes vexans, and the swamp water species, Anopheles walkeri. The subsequent abundance of Culex pipiens, a species that breeds in polluted, eutrophic waters, was negatively correlated with local modeled surface wetness. These associations permit real-time monitoring and forecasting of these floodwater and nonfloodwater species at high spatial and temporal resolution. These predictions will enable public health agencies to institute control measures before the mosquitoes emerge as adults, when their role as transmitters of disease comes into play. KW - entomology KW - hydrology KW - Culicidae KW - Aedes KW - Anopheles KW - Culex KW - vector control KW - West Nile virus KW - St. Louis encephalitis KW - dynamic modeling KW - United States DO - 10.3201/eid0801.010049 UR - https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/8/1/01-0049_article ER - End of Reference