Emerging Infectious Disease ISSN: 1080-6059

Ring Vaccination and Smallpox Control

Mirjam Kretzschmar*

, Susan van den Hof*, Jacco Wallinga*, and Jan van Wijngaarden†

Author affiliations: *National Institute of Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands; †Inspectorate of Health Care, the Hague, the Netherlands

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Figure 4

Results for the sensitivity analyses. The total number of infected persons (excluding successfully vaccinated infected contacts) depends on A, the number of index cases starting the epidemic, and B, the day of the infectious period after which the diagnosis of the first case occurs. The time to extinction is shown for C, different numbers of index cases, and D, the day of the infectious period after which the diagnosis of the first case occurs. The quantiles are taken pointwise for 500 simulatio

Figure 4. Results for the sensitivity analyses. The total number of infected persons (excluding successfully vaccinated infected contacts) depends on A, the number of index cases starting the epidemic, and B, the day of the infectious period after which the diagnosis of the first case occurs. The time to extinction is shown for C, different numbers of index cases, and D, the day of the infectious period after which the diagnosis of the first case occurs. The quantiles are taken pointwise for 500 simulation runs.

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