Volume 11, Number 8—August 2005
Research
Estimating Foodborne Gastroenteritis, Australia
Gillian Hall*
, Martyn D. Kirk†, Niels Becker*, Joy E. Gregory‡, Leanne Unicomb§, Geoffrey Millard¶, Russell Stafford#, Karin Lalor‡, and the OzFoodNet Working Group
, Martyn D. Kirk†, Niels Becker*, Joy E. Gregory‡, Leanne Unicomb§, Geoffrey Millard¶, Russell Stafford#, Karin Lalor‡, and the OzFoodNet Working GroupTable 1
GE due to known pathogens in Australia in a typical year circa 2000*
| Pathogen | Median no. GE cases (95% CrI) | Median proportion foodborne (95% CrI) | Median no. foodborne (95% CrI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bacteria | |||
| Aeromonas spp. | 39,400 (31,700–47,200) | 0.25 (0.12–0.38) | 9,800 (4,100–15,400) |
| Bacillus cereus | 6,900 (0–16,000) | 1 (1.00–1.00) | 6,900 (0–15,800) |
| Campylobacter spp. | 277,000 (89,800–463,000) | 0.75 (0.67–0.83) | 208,000 (67,000–350,000) |
| Clostridium perfringens | 43,000 (440–86,000) | 1 (1.00–1.00) | 43,000 (400–86,000) |
| STEC | 3,000 (0–6,500) | 0.65 (0.48–0.82) | 1,900 (0–4,200) |
| non-STEC E. coli | 1,152,000 (797,000–1,507,000) | 0.5 (0.32–0.68) | 563,000 (295,000–831,000) |
| Salmonella spp. | 92,000 (26,000–158,000) | 0.87 (0.81–0.93) | 81,000 (23,000–138,000) |
| Shigella spp. | 3,200 (0–6,900) | 0.1 (0.04–0.16) | 300 (0–700) |
| Staphylococcus aureus | 14,100 (0–29,800) | 1 (1.00–1.00) | 14,200 (0–29,800) |
| Vibrio parahaemolyticus | 1,080 (0–2,600) | 0.71 (0.54–0.88) | 740 (0–1,850) |
| Yersinia spp. | 2,200 (0–4,500) | 0.75 0.63–0.87) | 1,620 (0–3,400) |
| Total bacteria | 1,639,000 (1,175,000–2,103,000) | 0.58 (0.44–0.72) | 950,000 (590,000–1,310,000) |
| Viruses | |||
| Norovirus | 1,832,000 (1,361,000–2,302,000) | 0.25 (0.12–0.38) | 446,000 (193,000–700,000) |
| Rotavirus | 241,000 (98,000–384,000) | 0.02 (0.01–0.03) | 4,700 (700–8,600) |
| Astrovirus/adenovirus | 190,000 (63,000–316,000) | 0.1 (0.02–0.18) | 17,500 (0–36,800) |
| Total viruses | 2,280,000 (1,740,000–2,820,000) | 0.21 (0.11–0.31) | 470,000 (210,000–730,000) |
| Parasites | |||
| Cryptosporidium parvum | 271,000 (255,000–287,000) | 0.1 (0.02–0.18) | 25,000 (0–54,000) |
| Giardia lamblia | 430,000 (232,000–628,000) | 0.05 (0.01–0.09) | 20,400 (0–41,100) |
| Total parasites | 704,000 (442,000–966,000) | 0.14 (0.04–0.24) | 66,000 (18,000–114,000) |
| Total |
4,640,000 (3,750,000–5,510,000) |
0.32 (0.24–0.40) |
1,480,000 (1,030,000–1,920,000) |
| *GE, gastroenteritis; CrI, credibility interval; STEC, Shiga toxin–producing Escherichia coli. | |||
