Volume 10, Number 2—February 2004
THEME ISSUE
2004 SARS Edition
SARS Epidemiology
SARS Outbreak, Taiwan, 2003
Ying-Hen Hsieh*
, Cathy W.S. Chen†, and Sze-Bi Hsu‡
, Cathy W.S. Chen†, and Sze-Bi Hsu‡Table 1
The model parameter values with 90% confidence interval (CI) and p values, when appropriatea
| Parameter | Estimated value | 90% CI | p value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SARSb death rate | ρ=0.0062 | 0.0023 to 0.00101 | 0.0125 |
| Discharge rate of probable case-patients | σ=0.0747 | 0.000c to 0.1500 | <0.0001d |
| Admission rate of suspected case-patients | β=0.3370 | 0.0814 to 0.5927 | 0.0336 |
| Reclassification rate from suspected to probable case | γ=0.0797 | 0.0281 to 0.1311 | 0.0142e |
| Rule-out rate of suspected cases | α=0.4271 | 0.3571 to 0.5927 | - |
| Proportion of probable cases in suspected class | δ=0.4783 | - | - |
aAll rates are per day.
bSARS, severe acute respiratory syndrome.
cMax{0,-0.0046}.
dp value for 1–ρ–σ.
ep value for γδ.
