Seasonal Forecast of St. Louis Encephalitis Virus Transmission, Florida
Jeffrey Shaman* , Jonathan F. Day†, Marc Stieglitz‡, Stephen Zebiak§, and Mark Cane‡
Author affiliations: *Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA; †University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA; ‡Columbia University, New York, New York, USA; §International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, New York, USA
Figure 5. Time series of weekly, retrospective epidemic St. Louis encephalitis virus transmission forecast probabilities, January 1998–June 2002, with 95% confidence intervals. Also shown are the weekly, epidemic SLEV transmission probabilities as would be predicted from climatology (1978–1997).
The opinions expressed by authors contributing to this journal do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, the Public Health Service, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or the authors' affiliated institutions. Use of trade names is for identification only and does not imply endorsement by any of the groups named above.