Emerging Infectious Disease ISSN: 1080-6059

Seasonal Forecast of St. Louis Encephalitis Virus Transmission, Florida

Jeffrey Shaman*

, Jonathan F. Day†, Marc Stieglitz‡, Stephen Zebiak§, and Mark Cane‡

Author affiliations: *Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA; †University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA; ‡Columbia University, New York, New York, USA; §International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, New York, USA

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Figure 5

Time series of weekly, retrospective epidemic St. Louis encephalitis virus transmission forecast probabilities, January 1998–June 2002, with 95% confidence intervals. Also shown are the weekly, epidemic SLEV transmission probabilities as would be predicted from climatology (1978–1997).

Figure 5. Time series of weekly, retrospective epidemic St. Louis encephalitis virus transmission forecast probabilities, January 1998–June 2002, with 95% confidence intervals. Also shown are the weekly, epidemic SLEV transmission probabilities as would be predicted from climatology (1978–1997).

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