Volume 14, Number 3—March 2008
Research
Rescinding Community Mitigation Strategies in an Influenza Pandemic
Victoria J. Davey*†
and Robert J. Glass‡
and Robert J. Glass‡Table
Epidemic management targets
| Outcome | Target |
|---|---|
| No. epidemics*/1,070 simulations | Fewer than unmitigated base cases |
| Infection rate | <0.1 of population (n = 1,000) |
| Peak illness rate | <0.01 of population (n = 100) |
| Average no. cycles required | <2.0 |
| Average days home per adult | Fewer than continuation strategies |
| Average no. days strategies imposed | Fewer than continuation strategies |
*An epidemic is defined in the model as a simulation with a clinical illness rate >1% of the population.
