Volume 17, Number 9—September 2011
Synopsis
Risk-based Estimate of Effect of Foodborne Diseases on Public Health, Greece
Elissavet Gkogka
, Martine W. Reij, Arie H. Havelaar, Marcel H. Zwietering, and Leon G.M. Gorris
, Martine W. Reij, Arie H. Havelaar, Marcel H. Zwietering, and Leon G.M. GorrisTable 1
Parameters of the PERT distributions used to describe foodborne transmission, underreporting, and case-fatality rate for foodborne illnesses, Greece, 1996–2006*
| Illness | Minimum, most likely, maximum† | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Food attribution, % | Underreporting | Case-fatality rate, % | |
| Bacterial | |||
| Botulism | 80, 100, 100 | 1.625, 1.8125, 2 | 3, 10.15, 17.3 |
| Brucellosis | 50, 84,100 | 2, 10.85, 19.7 | 0.9, 2, 5 |
| Campylobacteriosis | 30, 55, 80 | 7.6, 274.8, 542 | 0.1, 0.1265, 0.153 |
| Enterohemorrhagic Escherichia coli | 40, 51, 90 | 2, 14.05, 26.1 | 0.25, 0.54, 0.83 |
| Leptospirosis | 1, 5, 49 | 10, 15, 20 | 5, 10, 15 |
| Listeriosis | 69, 99, 100 | 1.1, 1.7, 2.3 | 10, 30, 44 |
| Salmonellosis | 55, 95, 95 | 3.2, 51.45, 99.7 | 0.5, 0.701, 0.902 |
| Shigellosis | 8.2, 10, 31 | 3.4, 18.35, 33.3 | 0.1, 0.13, 0.16 |
| Typhoid and paratyphoid fever | 55, 80, 95 | 2, 7.65, 13.3 | 0.4, 0.95, 1.5 |
| Food poisoning | 87, 100, 100 | 29.3, 185.65, 342 | 0, 0.025, 0.05 |
| Parasitic | |||
| Amebiasis | 10, 50, 100 | 9.2, 9.6, 10 | 0.1, 0.2, 0.3 |
| Cryptosporidiosis | 5.6, 5.6, 8 | 7.4, 53, 98.6 | 0.07, 0.335, 0.6 |
| Echinococcosis | 30, 30, 100 | 2, 3, 4 | 1, 2.24, 3 |
| Giardiasis | 5, 10, 30 | 4.6, 25.45, 46.3 | 0, 0.05, 0.1 |
| Toxoplasmosis | 30, 50, 63 | NA | 3.3, 3.75, 4.8 |
| Viral: acute hepatitis A | 5, 8, 11 | 2, 5.55, 9.1 | 0.3, 1.35, 2.4 |
| Mixed/ill-defined causes | |||
| Other helminthiases | 30, 90, 100 | 4.6, 51.6, 98.6 | 3.37‡ |
| Intestinal infections due to other specified microorganism | 1, 36, 70 | 2, 402, 1,562 | 0.25‡ |
| Ill-defined intestinal infections | 1, 36, 50 | 2, 402, 1,562 | 0.0045‡ |
*NA, not applicable.
†Minimum, most likely (mean), and maximum parameters of each PERT distribution. More information, including an expanded version of this table, can be found in the Technical Appendix.
‡For these illnesses, an average fixed value was used for the case-fatality rates estimated by using data from the World Health Organization Mortality Database on the deaths and incidence data from the Hellenic Statistical Authority.
