Volume 13, Number 1—January 2007
Dispatch
Death Rates from Malaria Epidemics, Burundi and Ethiopia
Jean-Paul Guthmann*1
, Maryline Bonnet*, Laurence Ahoua*, François Dantoine*, Suna Balkan†, Michel van Herp‡, Abiy Tamrat§, Dominique Legros*¶, Vincent Brown*, and Francesco Checchi*#
, Maryline Bonnet*, Laurence Ahoua*, François Dantoine*, Suna Balkan†, Michel van Herp‡, Abiy Tamrat§, Dominique Legros*¶, Vincent Brown*, and Francesco Checchi*#Table 1
Results of retrospective surveys of deaths in Burundi (2000–2001) and Ethiopia (2003–2004)*
| Burundi | Ethiopia | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayanza | Ngozi | Karuzi | Damot Gale | |
| Dates of survey | December 2000 | February 2001 | March 2001 | January 2004 |
| Beginning of recall period | Anniversary of Prince Rwagasore murder† | 4 wk before anniversary of Prince Rwagasore murder | Anniversary of Prince Rwagasore murder | Last Meskal‡ |
| Recall period, d | 53 | 155 | 153 | 125 |
| No. persons in sample | 4,308 | 3,639 | 4,925 | 5,619 |
| No. children <5 y in sample (%) | 729 (16.9) | 639 (17.5) | 961 (19.5) | 1,167 (20.8) |
| No. deaths during recall period | 23 | 100 | 87 | 148 |
| No. deaths, children <5 y | 14 | 51 | 45 | 51 |
| CMR (95% CI) | 1.0 (0.6–1.7) | 1.8 (1.3–2.3) | 1.1 (0.9–1.5) | 2.1 (1.5–2.9) |
| U5MR (95% CI) | 3.6 (1.7 - 7.2) | 5.0 (3.3–7.4) | 3.0 (2.0–4.4) | 3.4 (2.3–5.1) |
| No. deaths probably due to malaria (%) | 18 (78.3) | 58 (58.0) | 45 (51.7) | 106 (66.0) |
| No. deaths probably due to malaria, children <5 y (%) | 9 (64.3) | 27 (53.0) | 24 (53.3) | 42 (82.3) |
| Probable malaria-specific mortality rate (95% CI) | 0.8 (0.4–1.5) | 1.0 (0.7–1.5) | 0.6 (0.4–0.8) | 1.5 (1.0–2.1) |
| Probable malaria-specific mortality rate, children <5 y (95% CI) | 2.3 (0.9–5.4) | 2.6 (1.5–4.6) | 1.6 (0.9–2.8) | 2.8 (1.9–4.1) |
*CMR, crude mortality rate (deaths/10,000/d); CI, confidence interval; U5MR, mortality rate for children <5 y of age (deaths/10,000/d).
†October 13, 2000.
‡September 28, 2003.
