Volume 4, Number 3—September 1998
THEME ISSUE
ICEID 1998
New Agents and Disease Associations
The Emergence of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy and Related Diseases
Table 2
Predictions of new infections and cases of BSEa from 1996-2001b
| New Infections |
Cases |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Expected value | 95% Prediction interval | Expected value | 95% Prediction interval |
| 1996 | 189 | (155-11,300) | 7,386 | (6,541-8,856) |
| 1997 | 95 | (63-236) | 4,111 | (3,006-7,664) |
| 1998 | 38 | (21-214) | 1,864 | (1,153-7,052) |
| 1999 | 12 | (5-162) | 682 | (388-5,909) |
| 2000 | 3 | (1-86) | 221 | (128-3,660) |
| 2001 | 1 | (0-33) | 72 | (45-1,592) |
aBovine spongiform encephalopathy.
bInformation extracted from (7).
