Emerging Infectious Disease ISSN: 1080-6059

Pandemic Influenza and Healthcare Demand in the Netherlands: Scenario Analysis

Marianne L.L. van Genugten*

, Marie-Louise A. Heijnen*, and Johannes C. Jager*

Author affiliations: *National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands

Hospitalizations and deaths in various scenarios for alternative complication rates^a

Scenario	No. of hospitalizations			No. of deaths
	Base case	Hospitalization and death rate		Base case	Hospitalization and death rate
	Base case	Age group <64 y x 2	Low risk to high risk rate	Base case	Age group <64 y x 2	Low risk to high risk rate
Nonintervention	10,186	12,830	64,425	4,040	4,207	10,087
Influenza vaccination
Total population	3,847	4,376	16,798	1,738	1,771	3,981
Risk groups	3,968	4,617	50,935	1,789	1,873	5,333
Pneumococcal vaccination	7,008	8,857	58,597	3,903	4,066	9,950
Neuraminidase inhibitors	5,093	6,415	32,212	2,020	2,104	5,043