Volume 12, Number 1—January 2006
Policy Review
Nonpharmaceutical Interventions for Pandemic Influenza, International Measures
Table A1
First author | Nature of study | Pertinent results | Pertinent conclusions |
---|---|---|---|
Frank (35) | Surveillance in families, Houston, Texas, 1975–1979 | In a study of 50 influenza A illnesses in 41 children <4 years of age, presymptomatic viral shedding was noted in 4 (8%) from whom positive samples were obtained 6, 4, 3, and 3 days, respectively, before symptom onset. Samples were not cultured for most children before symptom onset. Peak shedding occurred during week 1 of illness, when 73% of cultures were positive; 10% were positive on days 8–11, 5% on days 12–15, and 0% days 16–19. Illness duration and shedding were not correlated. | In children, at least 8% of illnesses in a seasonal outbreak were associated with presymptomatic shedding, which was noted up to 6 days before illness; 5% continued to shed at the end of week 2. Peak rates of shedding correlated with symptoms. |
Hall (36) | Children with respiratory illness seeking medical care during influenza outbreaks, Rochester, New York, 1977 and 1986 | In an influenza B study of 43 children (mean age 8 y), 74% had typical influenzalike illness, 7% had afebrile upper respiratory infections, and 19% had croup. Peak virus titers occurred on day 1 of illness, and 93% of children shed virus on days 1–3, 75% on day 4, and 30% on day 6. Severe illness and prolonged fever were associated with higher virus titers, and a trend (p<0.07) for younger children to shed higher-titer virus occurred. In an influenza A study, symptoms and the highest viral shedding occurred early in illness; 30% of patients still shed at day 7. | Peak shedding early in illness, correlated with symptoms and fever. |
Davis (37) | Surveillance in families, Washington, DC area, 1951–1956 | Influenza A virus was recovered from 0/4 and 2/3 throat swab samples obtained 3–5 and 1–2 days, respectively, before symptoms, compared with 75 (59%) of 127 swab specimens collected within 3 days after onset of illness. | Shedding at low levels occurred 1–2 days before symptoms |
Foy (38) | Surveillance in families, Seattle, Washington, 1984 | 12/37 persons, all >12 y of age, from whom influenza B virus was isolated were asymptomatic. Virus cultures from asymptomatic persons required longer incubation time than those from symptomatic persons to become positive (12.7 vs. 8.7 days, p<0.007), suggesting low titers of virus in these specimens. The study design did not permit assessment of whether asymptomatic persons transmitted influenza. | Asymptomatic shedding at a low titer may be common during a seasonal outbreak. |
Murphy (39) | In the control arm of a study, 7 adult volunteers were nasally infected with wild-type H3N2 virus | Peak virus shedding occurred 2 days after nasal inoculation, and shedding ceased by day 6. Titer of virus shed and daily fever score (reflects height and duration of fever) were strongly correlated (p<0.001). 1/7 study participants had mild symptoms without fever and shed less virus. | Fever score and quantity of virus shed were strongly correlated. |
Couch (40) | In a vaccine study, 29 adults received vaccines, and 11 controls received saline. All were nasally infected with H3N2 | The vaccinated group had a reduced rate and severity of illness. Among controls (without specific antibody), titer of virus shed and daily severity of illness scores (p<0.001) were strongly correlated. In the combined group, peak viral shedding occurred 3 days after infection. Virus was shed a mean of 5.7 days. 6/29 vaccine recipients and 5/11 controls shed low levels of virus but did not become ill. | Severity of illness and quantity of virus shed were strongly correlated; a substantial rate of asymptomatic shedding occurred at low titer. |
Khakpour (41) | Daily cultures of 29 adult prisoners after natural exposure to influenza, Iran, 1968 | Virus was isolated from 5/29 contacts. One person had influenza isolated from a throat washing and blood, which is rare, 12 h before symptoms. Four persons had virus isolated from throat washings but never had symptoms; acute antibody titer was high in 2. Virus titrations were not performed. | Presymptomatic and asymptomatic shedding can occur. |
Philip (42) | Surveillance in families, Washington, DC area, 1952–1955 | In households with proven influenza illness, influenza A was isolated from 8 (38%) of 21 contacts with acute afebrile respiratory illness and 2 (5%) of 40 healthy contacts. Influenza B virus was isolated from 2 (11%) of 19 contacts with acute afebrile respiratory illness and 0 of 47 contacts. Age distribution of culture-positive contacts was not reported. | Symptomatic household contacts commonly shed influenza A virus. Asymptomatic shedding of influenza A and B viruses was uncommon. |
Monto (43) | Surveillance in families, Tecumseh, Michigan, 1976–1981 | During seasonal epidemics among persons with serologically proven influenza A (H3N2) infection, at least 15%–25% were ill. Among persons with serologically proven influenza B, at least 19%–34% were ill. Among persons with febrile respiratory illness, influenza virus was isolated from 19.7%. | ≈60% of seasonal infections were asymptomatic. (This includes persons with partial immunity due to infection with the same subtype as in previous years; the percentage of asymptomatic infections would be lower in a pandemic.) Viral shedding in asymptomatic persons is likely to be quite low. |
Hayden (44) | 19 volunteers infected with influenza A H1N1 | All study participants were symptomatic, and symptom scores peaked on day 2 and returned to normal by day 8. Virus titers correlated with symptoms. | Viral shedding was correlated with symptoms. |
References
- World Health Organization. Avian influenza: assessing the pandemic threat. 2005 [cited 2005 Jan]. Available from http://www.who.int/csr/disease/influenza/WHO_CDS_2005_29/en/index.html
- World Health Organization. WHO global influenza preparedness plan: the role of WHO and recommendations for national measures before and during pandemics. Annex 1. 2005 [cited 2005 Apr]. Available from http://www.who.int/csr/resources/publications/influenza/WHO_CDS_CSR_GIP_2005_5/en
- World Health Organization. Non-pharmaceutical interventions: their role in reducing transmission and spread. 2005 [cited 2005 Nov]. Available from http://www.who.int/csr/disease/avian_influenza/pharmaintervention2005_11_3/en/index.html
- World Health Organization Writing Group. Nonpharmaceutical public health interventions for pandemic influenza, national and community measures. Emerg Infect Dis. 2006;12:88–94.PubMedGoogle Scholar
- Frank AL, Taber LH, Wells CR, Wells JM, Glezen WP, Paredes A. Patterns of shedding of myxoviruses and paramyxoviruses in children. J Infect Dis. 1981;144:433–41. DOIPubMedGoogle Scholar
- Hall CB, Douglas RG Jr, Geiman JM, Meagher MP. Viral shedding patterns of children with influenza B infection. J Infect Dis. 1979;140:610–3. DOIPubMedGoogle Scholar
- Sheat K. An investigation into an explosive outbreak of influenza—New Plymouth. Communicable Disease New Zealand. 1992;92:18–9.
- Bridges CB, Kuehnert MJ, Hall CB. Transmission of influenza: implications for control in health care settings. Clin Infect Dis. 2003;37:1094–101. DOIPubMedGoogle Scholar
- Moser MR, Bender TR, Margolis HS, Noble GR, Kendal AP, Ritter DG. An outbreak of influenza aboard a commercial airliner. Am J Epidemiol. 1979;110:1–6.PubMedGoogle Scholar
- Alford RH, Kasel JA, Gerone PJ, Knight V. Human influenza resulting from aerosol inhalation. Proc Soc Exp Biol Med. 1966;122:800–4.PubMedGoogle Scholar
- Morens DM, Rash VM. Lessons from a nursing home outbreak of influenza A. Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 1995;16:275–80. DOIPubMedGoogle Scholar
- Bean B, Moore BM, Sterner B, Peterson LR, Gerding DN, Balfour HH Jr. Survival of influenza viruses on environmental surfaces. J Infect Dis. 1982;146:47–51. DOIPubMedGoogle Scholar
- World Health Organization. Consensus document on the epidemiology of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). 2003 [cited 2005 Oct 27]. p. 25–27. Available from http://www.who.int/csr/sars/en/WHOconsensus.pdf
- Mills CE, Robins JM, Lipsitch M. Transmissibility of 1918 pandemic influenza. Nature. 2004;432:904–6. DOIPubMedGoogle Scholar
- Ferguson NM, Cummings DA, Cauchemez S, Fraser C, Riley S, Meeyai A, Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia. Nature. 2005;437:209–14. DOIPubMedGoogle Scholar
- Neuzil KM, Hohlbein C, Zhu Y. Illness among schoolchildren during influenza season: effect on school absenteeism, parental absenteeism from work, and secondary illness in families. Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med. 2002;156:986–91.PubMedGoogle Scholar
- Cumpston JHL. Influenza and maritime quarantine in Australia. Report no. 18. Melbourne: Commonwealth of Australia, Quarantine Service; 1919.
- McQueen H. "Spanish 'flu"—1919: political, medical and social aspects. Med J Aust. 1975;1:565–70.PubMedGoogle Scholar
- New South Wales Department of Public Health. Report on the influenza epidemic in New South Wales in 1919. Section V. Sydney: William Applegate Gullick; 1920. p 139–272.
- Camail. In: Huot. L'épidémie d'influenza de 1918–1919 dans les colonies françaises. 3. Colonies de la côte orientale d'Afrique. Madagascar. Annales de Médecine et Pharmacie Coloniales. 1921;19:463–5.
- Patterson KD, Pyle GF. The diffusion of influenza in sub-Saharan Africa during the 1918–1919 pandemic. Soc Sci Med. 1983;17:1299–307. DOIPubMedGoogle Scholar
- Barry JM. The great epidemic: the epic story of the deadliest plague in history. New York: Viking Penguin; 2004.
- Peltier. L'épidémie d'influenza qui a sévi en Nouvelle Calédonie en 1921. Bulletin de l'Office International d'Hygiène Publique. 1922;14:676–85.
- Patterson KD. The influenza epidemic of 1918–1919 in the Gold Coast. J Afr Hist. 1983;24:485–502. DOIPubMedGoogle Scholar
- World Health Organization. Expert committee on respiratory virus disease: first report. World Health Organ Tech Rep Ser. 1959;58:1–59.PubMedGoogle Scholar
- Bell DM; World Health Organization Working Group on Prevention of International and Community Transmission of SARS. Public health interventions and SARS spread, 2003. Emerg Infect Dis. 2004;10:1900–6.PubMedGoogle Scholar
- St John RK, King A, de Jong D, Bodie-Collins M, Squires SG, Tam TW. Border screening for SARS. Emerg Infect Dis. 2005;11:6–10.PubMedGoogle Scholar
- Pitman RJ, Cooper BS, Trotter CL, Gay NJ, Edmunds WJ. Entry screening for SARS or influenza, policy evaluation. BMJ. 2005;331:1242–3. DOIPubMedGoogle Scholar
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Use of quarantine to prevent transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome—Taiwan, 2003. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2003;52:680–3.PubMedGoogle Scholar
- Mangili A, Gendreau MA. Transmission of infectious diseases during commercial air travel. Lancet. 2005;365:989–96. DOIPubMedGoogle Scholar
- Miller JM, Tam TW, Maloney S, Fukuda K, Cox N, Hockin J, Cruise ships: high-risk passengers and the global spread of new influenza viruses. Clin Infect Dis. 2000;31:433–8. DOIPubMedGoogle Scholar
- Marsden AG. Influenza outbreak related to air travel. Med J Aust. 2003;179:172–3.PubMedGoogle Scholar
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Preliminary guidelines for the prevention and control of influenza-like illness among passengers and crew members on cruise ships. 1999 [cited 2005 Sep]. Available from http://www.cdc.gov/travel/CDCguideflufnl.pdf
- Olsen SJ, Chang HL, Cheung TY, Tang AF, Fisk TL, Ooi SP, Transmission of the severe acute respiratory syndrome on aircraft. N Engl J Med. 2003;349:2416–22. DOIPubMedGoogle Scholar
- Frank AL, Taber LH, Wells CR, Wells JM, Glezen WP, Paredes A. Patterns of shedding of myxoviruses and paramyxoviruses in children. J Infect Dis. 1981;144:433–41. DOIPubMedGoogle Scholar
- Hall CB, Dolin R, Gala CL, Markovitz DM, Zhang YQ, Madore PH, Children with influenza A infection: treatment with rimantadine. Pediatrics. 1987;80:275–82.PubMedGoogle Scholar
- Davis DJ, Philip RN, Bell JA, Vogel JE, Jensen DV. Epidemiologic studies on influenza in familial and general population groups. 1951–1956. III. Laboratory observations. Am J Hyg. 1961;73:138–47.PubMedGoogle Scholar
- Foy HM, Cooney MK, Allan ID, Albrecht JK. Influenza B in households: virus shedding without symptoms or antibody response. Am J Epidemiol. 1987;126:506–15.PubMedGoogle Scholar
- Murphy BR, Chalhub EG, Nusinoff SR, Kasel J, Chanock RM. Temperature-sensitive mutants of influenza virus. 3. Further characterization of the ts-1(E) influenza A recombinant (H3N2) virus in man. J Infect Dis. 1973;128:479–87. DOIPubMedGoogle Scholar
- Couch RB, Douglas RG Jr, Fedson DS, Kasel JA. Correlated studies of a recombinant influenza-virus vaccine. 3. Protection against experimental influenza in man. J Infect Dis. 1971;124:473–80. DOIPubMedGoogle Scholar
- Khakpour M, Saidi A, Naficy K. Proved viraemia in Asian influenza (Hong Kong variant) during incubation period. BMJ. 1969;4:208–9. DOIPubMedGoogle Scholar
- Philip RN, Bell JA, Davis DJ, Beem MO, Beigelman PM, Engler JI, Epidemiologic studies on influenza in familial and general population groups, 1951–1956. II. Characteristics of occurrence. Am J Hyg. 1961;73:123–37.PubMedGoogle Scholar
- Monto AS, Koopman JS, Longini IM Jr. Tecumseh study of illness. XIII. Influenza infection and disease, 1976–1981. Am J Epidemiol. 1985;121:811–22.PubMedGoogle Scholar
- Hayden FG, Fritz R, Lobo MC, Alvord W, Strober W, Straus SE. Local and systemic cytokine responses during experimental human influenza A virus infection. Relation to symptom formation and host defense. J Clin Invest. 1998;101:643–9. DOIPubMedGoogle Scholar
1The writing group was established by request of the WHO Global Influenza Programme. It consisted of the following persons: David Bell, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA (coordinator); Angus Nicoll, European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden, and Health Protection Agency, London, United Kingdom (working group chair); Keiji Fukuda, WHO, Geneva, Switzerland; Peter Horby, WHO, Hanoi, Vietnam; and Arnold Monto, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA. The following persons made substantial contributions: Frederick Hayden, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, USA; Clare Wylks and Lance Sanders, Australian Government Department of Health and Ageing, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia; and Jonathan Van Tam, Health Protection Agency, London, United Kingdom.