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Volume 11, Number 9—September 2005
Research

Potential Impact of Antiviral Drug Use during Influenza Pandemic

Raymond Gani*Comments to Author , Helen Hughes*, Douglas Fleming†, Thomas Griffin*, Jolyon Medlock*, and Steve Leach*
Author affiliations: *Health Protection Agency, Salisbury, Wiltshire, United Kingdom; †Royal College of General Practitioners, Harborne, Birmingham, United Kingdom

Main Article

Figure 1

. Estimated impact of different sizes of antiviral stockpiles on the number of clinical cases at the end of the pandemic. Depicted are clinical attack rates before interventions of 20%, 25%, 30%, 35%, and 40%, with corresponding values for the basic reproduction number (R0) of 1.28, 1.39, 1.53, 1.72, and 2.0 respectively. The precipitous decreases observed with the 20% and 25% attack rates result at the points at which the stockpile becomes large enough to last long enough to prevent a recrudesc

Figure 1. . . Estimated impact of different sizes of antiviral stockpiles on the number of clinical cases at the end of the pandemic. Depicted are clinical attack rates before interventions of 20%, 25%, 30%, 35%, and 40%, with corresponding values for the basic reproduction number (R0) of 1.28, 1.39, 1.53, 1.72, and 2.0 respectively. The precipitous decreases observed with the 20% and 25% attack rates result at the points at which the stockpile becomes large enough to last long enough to prevent a recrudescence of the epidemic by suppressing the effective reproduction number.

Main Article

Page created: August 31, 2012
Page updated: August 31, 2012
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The conclusions, findings, and opinions expressed by authors contributing to this journal do not necessarily reflect the official position of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, the Public Health Service, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or the authors' affiliated institutions. Use of trade names is for identification only and does not imply endorsement by any of the groups named above.
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