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Volume 12, Number 3—March 2006

Research

Medication Sales and Syndromic Surveillance, France

Elisabeta Vergu*†‡1Comments to Author , Rebecca F. Grais*†1, Hélène Sarter*†, Jean-Paul Fagot*†, Bruno Lambert§, Alain-Jacques Valleron*†¶, and Antoine Flahault*†#
Author affiliations: *Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Medicale Unité, Paris, France; †Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris, France; ‡Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique MIA, Jouy-en-Josas, France; §IMS FRANCE, Puteaux, France; ¶Hôpital Saint-Antoine, Paris, France; #Hôpital Tenon, Paris, France

Main Article

Figure 3

Evolution of regional influenzalike illness (ILI) incidence during the 2003–04 epidemic. The observed maps (first line) were constructed by using data from the French Sentinel Network. The forecast maps (for the first 6 epidemic weeks) 1, 2, and 3 weeks ahead show the results of the regional models when medication sales are used. The forecast horizon is indicated below each map. For example, for 2003(49), ILI predicted incidence is calculated by employing the model with data until week 47 of yea

Figure 3. Evolution of regional influenzalike illness (ILI) incidence during the 2003–04 epidemic. The observed maps (first line) were constructed by using data from the French Sentinel Network. The forecast maps (for the first 6 epidemic weeks) 1, 2, and 3 weeks ahead show the results of the regional models when medication sales are used. The forecast horizon is indicated below each map. For example, for 2003(49), ILI predicted incidence is calculated by employing the model with data until week 47 of year 2003. Thus, the time forecasting horizon is 2 weeks.

Main Article

1Both authors contributed equally to this research.

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