Volume 12, Number 5—May 2006
Historical Review
Spatial Analysis of Sleeping Sickness, Southeastern Uganda, 1970–2003
Table
Interval (cluster) | Districts in most likely cluster | Cluster date | No. observed cases | No. expected cases | Relative risk* | p value | Cluster radius (km) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1970–1975 | Mayuge, Bugiri, and southern Iganga | 1973–1975 | 63 | 8 | 8.3 | 0.0001 | 41 |
1976–1979 | Northwest shift to include northern Mayuge, Iganga, Jinja, and southeastern Kamuli | 1978–1979 | 311 | 23 | 13.5 | 0.0001 | 29 |
1980–1988 | Wider extent, including Mayuge, Bugiri, Iganga, Jinja, and southern Kamuli | 1985–1988 | 13,943 | 1,865 | 7.5 | 0.0001 | 45 |
1989–1997 | As above, plus Tororo, Busia, eastern Mukono, southern Kayunga, and southern Pallisa | 1989–1992 | 3,176 | 869 | 3.7 | 0.0001 | 74 |
1998–2003 (A)† | Northwestern Iganga (Luuka county) and southern Kamuli | 1999–2001 | 331 | 26 | 12.6 | 0.0001 | 19 |
(B)† | Soroti | 2001–2003 | 263 | 21 | 12.5 | 0.0001 | 22 |
(C)† | Tororo (Osukulu subcounty) | 2001–2002 | 89 | 7 | 12.9 | 0.0001 | 6 |
(D)† | Mukono (subcounties of Buikwe, Buyikwe, Najja, Ngogwe, and Ssi) | 1998 | 50 | 4 | 12.5 | 0.0001 | 0‡ |
*Observed no. cases/expected no. cases.
†Multiple clusters were identified during 1998–2003. Letters correspond to cluster labels in Figure 8.
‡Cluster included only 1 observation representing 5 merged subcounties.
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