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Volume 14, Number 3—March 2008


Rescinding Community Mitigation Strategies in an Influenza Pandemic

Victoria J. Davey*†Comments to Author  and Robert J. Glass‡
Author affiliations: *Veterans Health Administration, Washington, DC, USA; †Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, USA‡Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA;

Main Article


Epidemic management targets

Outcome Target
No. epidemics*/1,070 simulations Fewer than unmitigated base cases
Infection rate <0.1 of population (n = 1,000)
Peak illness rate <0.01 of population (n = 100)
Average no. cycles required <2.0
Average days home per adult Fewer than continuation strategies
Average no. days strategies imposed Fewer than continuation strategies

*An epidemic is defined in the model as a simulation with a clinical illness rate >1% of the population.

Main Article