Volume 22, Number 10—October 2016
Estimation of Severe Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Cases in the Middle East, 2012–2016
|Estimated no. cases (95% CI)
|Traveler data||–2 Days LOS||–1 Day LOS||Average LOS†||+1 Day LOS||+2 Days LOS|
|Visitors from high-income OECD countries||5,463 (2,171–11,071)||4,086 (1,623–8,280)||3,263 (1,297–6,613)||2,716 (1,079–5,504)||2,326 (924–4,714)|
|All non–Middle Eastern visitors||2,043 (1,061–3,499)||1,683 (874–2,883)||1,431 (743–2,452)||1,245 (647–2,132)||1,102 (572 – 1,887)|
*LOS, length of stay; OECD, Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.
†The average length of stay of travelers from OECD countries in the 4 source countries (Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Qatar, and United Arab Emirates) was estimated to be 5.0 d, and the average length of stay of travelers from all non–Middle Eastern countries in the 4 source countries was estimated to be 6.7 d (Technical Appendix). Only the emirates of Abu Dhabi and Dubai were included in United Arab Emirates calculations due to a lack of traveler data on the other 5 emirates; no cases have been reported from these other emirates.