Volume 23, Number 11—November 2017
Dispatch
Virulence of Japanese Encephalitis Virus Genotypes I and III, Taiwan
Table 2
Estimated incidence of infection and asymptomatic ratios of JEV genotypes I and III among study populations, Taiwan*
Region |
|||||||||
Characteristic |
Changhua |
Taipei |
Pingtung |
Miaoli |
Taichung |
Hualien |
Taichung |
Hualien |
p value† |
Year |
1994 |
1995 |
1999 |
2000 |
2010 |
2010 |
2012 |
2012 |
ND |
No. specimens (incidence of infection) |
966 (171) |
974 (88) |
638 (67) |
411 (137) |
656 (146) |
905 (151) |
632 (105) |
375 (75) |
ND |
NT positive, % |
62 |
69 |
60 |
58 |
65 |
75 |
72 |
66 |
<0.05 |
IgM positive, % (A) |
4.91 |
0.90 |
1.93 |
1.10 |
0.98 |
2.25 |
3.23 |
3.67 |
<0.05 |
Seroconversion +
≥4-fold increase in
NT titer, %‡ (B) |
0.58 |
1.13 |
0 |
0.73 |
1.37 |
1.32 |
0.95 |
1.33 |
>0.05 |
Incidence of infection, % (C = A + B) |
5.49 |
2.03 |
1.93 |
1.83 |
2.35 |
3.57 |
4.18 |
5.00 |
<0.05 |
Population§ (D) |
483,766 |
2,643,221 |
909,778 |
559,703 |
598,186 |
339,659 |
593,780 |
337,382 |
ND |
Predicted no. infections (E = C × D) |
26,559 |
53,657 |
17,559 |
10,243 |
14,057 |
12,126 |
24,820 |
16,869 |
ND |
Confirmed cases (F)¶ |
4 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
ND |
Asymptomatic ratio (G = F/E) |
1/6,640 |
1/17,886 |
1/8,779 |
1/10,243 |
1/7,029 |
1/6,063 |
1/12,410 |
1/8,435 |
>0.05 |
Asymptomatic ratio, 95% CI | 1/5,102–1/8,000 | 1/15,408–1/21,322 | 1/8,000–1/9,709 | 1/8,065–1/13,947 | 1/6,329–1/7,874 | 1/5,348–1/6,993 | 1/10,846–1/14,493 | 1/7,299–1/10,010 | ND |
*Serum samples were collected after the Japanese encephalitis season (May–September); multiple serum samples were collected from some participants. JEV, Japanese encephalitis virus; ND, no data; NT, neutralizing antibody.
†Analyzed by using one-way analysis of variance.
‡Among the IgM-negative population, JEV infection was estimated by the observation of an increase in the NT titer, including seroconversion and ≥4-fold increase in the NT titer among subjects with multiple serum samples.
§In Taichung, only residents of the districts around the serum-collecting hospital were included.
¶According to the official report of the Taiwan Centers for Disease Control.
1These authors contributed equally to this article.