Volume 25, Number 8—August 2019
Research
Cross-Protection of Dengue Virus Infection against Congenital Zika Syndrome, Northeastern Brazil
Table
Comparison of models used to identify factors affecting development of congenital Zika syndrome in study of dengue virus cross-protection against congenital Zika syndrome, northeastern Brazil*
Model | Predictor scale | AIC | ΔAIC | AW | Odds ratio (95% CI) | p value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Neutralization of >2 DENV serotypes | Binary | 130.4 | 0 | 0.2812 | 0.158 (0.062–0.395) | <0.0001 |
No. neutralized serotypes | Ordinal, 5 ranks | 130.6 | 0.2 | 0.2590 | 0.577 (0.432–0.763) | <0.0001 |
DENV-4 neutralization | Binary | 131.4 | 0.9 | 0.1750 | 0.192 (0.078–0.449) | <0.0001 |
DENV-2 neutralization | Binary | 131.5 | 1.1 | 0.1657 | 0.170 (0.068–0.423) | <0.0001 |
Neutralization of >3 DENV serotypes | Binary | 133.0 | 2.6 | 0.0771 | 0.210 (0.086–0.492) | <0.0001 |
Neutralization of >1 DENV serotypes | Binary | 134.8 | 4.4 | 0.0319 | 0.170 (0.060–0.477) | <0.0001 |
DENV-1 neutralization | Binary | 139.1 | 8.6 | 0.0038 | 0.298 (0.122–0.733) | 0.009 |
DENV-3 neutralization | Binary | 140.3 | 9.9 | 0.0020 | 0.368 (0.154–0.844) | 0.018 |
Neutralization of 4 DENV serotypes | Binary | 140.5 | 10.1 | 0.0018 | 0.361 (0.139–0.852) | 0.020 |
Anti-DENV-2 PRNT90 titer | Continuous | 141.8 | 11.4 | <0.001 | 0.998 (0.990–1.000) | 0.043 |
Anti-DENV-1 PRNT90 titer | Continuous | 142.8 | 12.4 | <0.001 | 0.997 (0.990–1.000) | 0.079 |
Neutralization of 1 DENV serotype | Binary | 143.2 | 12.8 | <0001 | 3.328 (0.776–13.477) | 0.101 |
Age of mothers when giving birth | Continuous | 143.2 | 12.8 | <0.001 | 0.953 (0.896–1.010) | 0.136 |
Anti-DENV-3 PRNT90 titer | Continuous | 144.2 | 13.8 | <0.001 | 0.996 (0.990–1.000) | 0.195 |
Anti-DENV-4 PRNT90 titer | Continuous | 144.9 | 14.5 | <0.001 | 0.998 (0.990–1.000) | 0.326 |
*p values were calculated by likelihood ratio tests of the different models. Models are sorted by AIC, which is an estimator of the model’s quality; models with lower AIC values are superior to models with higher AIC values. The scale of predictor variables must be considered when comparing ORs of different models. AIC, Akaike information criterion; AW, Akaike weight; DENV 1–4, dengue virus types 1–4; OR, odds ratio; PRNT90, 90% plaque reduction neutralization test; ΔAIC, difference between a given and the best-supported model in AIC.
1These authors contributed equally to this article.