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Volume 29, Number 8—August 2023
Research

Predicting COVID-19 Incidence Using Wastewater Surveillance Data, Denmark, October 2021–June 2022

Oliver McManus, Lasse Engbo Christiansen, Maarten Nauta, Lene Wulff Krogsgaard, Naja Stolberg Bahrenscheer, Lene von Kappelgaard, Tobias Christiansen, Mikkel Hansen, Nicco Claudio Hansen, Jonas Kähler, Anders Rasmussen, Stine Raith Richter, Lasse Dam Rasmussen, Kristina Træholt Franck, and Steen EthelbergComments to Author 
Author affiliations: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden (O. McManus); Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark (O. McManus, L.E. Christiansen, M. Nauta, L.W. Krogsgaard, N.S. Bahrenscheer, L. von Kappelgaard, T. Christiansen, M. Hansen, N.C. Hansen, J. Kähler, A. Rasmussen, S.R. Richter, L.D. Rasmussen, K.T. Franck, S. Ethelberg); University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark (S. Ethelberg)

Main Article

Figure 3

Predicted COVID-19 incidence at a constant testing rate (purple) based on the national model, compared with observed incidence (black), in study of wastewater surveillance data as a predictor of COVID-19 incidence, Denmark. The prediction is an estimate of the true incidence. The proportion of estimated true cases captured decreased from >80% to ≈20% during 2022.

Figure 3. Predicted COVID-19 incidence at a constant testing rate (purple) based on the national model, compared with observed incidence (black), in study of wastewater surveillance data as a predictor of COVID-19 incidence, Denmark. The prediction is an estimate of the true incidence. The proportion of estimated true cases captured decreased from >80% to ≈20% during 2022.

Main Article

Page created: June 12, 2023
Page updated: July 19, 2023
Page reviewed: July 19, 2023
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