Volume 31, Number 3—March 2025
Dispatch
Mycobacterium ulcerans in Possum Feces before Emergence in Humans, Australia
Table 2
Proximity and timing of human cases of Buruli ulcer in areas with Mycobacterium ulcerans–positive possum fecal samples collected in 2020 and 2022, Australia*
Characteristic | Cases diagnosed since 2020 | Cases within detected clusters | Cases not in detected clusters | Cases in 2-year follow-up survey area |
---|---|---|---|---|
Total cases |
39 |
26 |
13 |
24 |
Distance from positive possum fecal sample, meters | ||||
Median (IQR) | 283 (92–1,025) | 199 (88–393) | 1177 (209–1,256) | 108 (82–263) |
Range |
35–1,867 |
35–1,531 |
70–1,867 |
35–405 |
Proximity | ||||
<200 meters | 16 (41) | 13 (50) | 3 (23) | 16 (67) |
<500 meters |
26 (67) |
20 (77) |
6 (46) |
24 (100) |
Months between possum detections and cases, median (IQR) | 17 (8–29) | 19 (8–31) | 16 (11–26) | 12 (7–28) |
*Values are no. (%) except as indicated. Clusters here include the 3 identified clusters (Belmont, Highton, Newtown, as presented in Figure 2, panel C). All fecal samples positive by IS2404 from any of the surveys (presurvey samples September 2019, main 2020 survey, 3-mo, 6-mo or 24-mo, follow-up) were included in the measurement of proximity; the closest sample contributing to these summary measures. †Month calculated as days divided by 30. Two cases with closest proximity samples <100 meters in 2022 (postdiagnosis in 2021) have been excluded from this time calculation, although both had relatively proximal detections (<250 meters) before diagnosis also.