Volume 22, Number 7—July 2016
Dispatch
Travel-Associated Rabies in Pets and Residual Rabies Risk, Western Europe
Table 2
Risk that dogs or cats are rabid on a given day in 10 countries in western Europe relative to pet transport, 2001–2013*
Country† |
No. pets without signs of rabies |
No. days of pet contagiousness for rabies attributed to pet transport | Estimation of probability for contact on a given day with a pet that is contagious for rabies attributed to pet transport | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pets with rabies signs |
Total |
Total |
||||||||||
Total |
Dogs |
Cats |
Total |
Dogs |
Cats |
Total |
Dog |
Cats |
Total, PA‡ |
Dogs, PAD§ |
Cats, PAC¶ |
|
Belgium | 16 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 1.38 × 10–9 | 3.32 × 10–9 | 0 |
France | 91 | 81 | 10 | 67 | 63 | 4 | 158 | 144 | 14 | 1.79 × 10–9 | 3.99 × 10–9 | 2.69 × 10–10 |
Germany | 32 | 32 | 0 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 9.83 × 10–10 | 2.50 × 10–9 | 0 |
Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Italy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
The Netherlands | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2.41 × 10–10 | 7.05 × 10–10 | 0 |
Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spain | 22 | 22 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 7.28 × 10–10 | 1.25 × 10–9 | 0 |
Switzerland | 10 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 1.62 × 10–10 | 7.10 × 10–9 | 0 |
United Kingdom | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1.18 × 10–10 | 2.37 × 10–10 | 0 |
Total | 178 | 168 | 10 | 121 | 117 | 4 | 299 | 285 | 14 | NA | NA | NA |
Mean | 18 | 17 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 7.52 × 10–10 | 1.57 × 10–9# | 6.48 × 10–11 |
*NA, not applicable.
†We considered only countries in western Europe with a population >1 million persons.
‡PA, calculated risk that a given pet is rabid on a given day in a country in western Europe relative to pet transport.
§AC, calculated risk that a given cat is rabid on a given day in a country in western Europe relative to pet transport.
¶PAD, calculated risk that a given dog is rabid on a given day in a country in western Europe relative to pet transport.
#PAD was lower if the dog had no signs of rabies (9.25 x10−10–1.03 x 10−10 for dogs with no signs of rabies and 6.44 x 10−9–6.44 x 10−6 for dogs with signs of rabies assuming that 90%–99.99% had no signs of rabies on a given day).