Volume 23, Number 1—January 2017
A Framework for Modeling Emerging Diseases to Inform Management
|Pathogenicity||What is the severity, lethality, and rapidity (rate of mortality) of effects on hosts?|
|Environmental niche||What environmental conditions (temperature, humidity) restrict persistence?|
|Taxonomic breadth of host
||Is there evidence that the agent type can affect hosts across multiple taxa? Which taxa?
|Contact networks||Spatial structure: What is the spatial structure of host populations: panmictic, metapopulations, or isolated? Does this vary across the landscape?|
|Movement patterns: What is the average and maximum distance an infected host might travel?|
|Social behavior: What is the social behavior of individual members in the host populations? What is the rate of contact between species?|
|Transmission pathways||How is the pathogen transmitted between hosts? How many different transmission pathways are there?|
1These authors contributed equally to this article.
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