Influence of Population Immunosuppression and Past Vaccination on Smallpox Reemergence
C. Raina MacIntyre, Valentina Costantino
, Xin Chen, Eva Segelov, Abrar Ahmad Chughtai, Anthony Kelleher, Mohana Kunasekaran, and John Michael Lane
Author affiliations: School of Public Health and Community Medicine, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia (C.R. MacIntyre, V. Costantino, X. Chen, A.A. Chughtai, M. Kunasekaran); Arizona State University, Phoenix, Arizona, USA (C.R. MacIntyre); Monash University and Monash Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia (E. Segelov); Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney (A. Kelleher); Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA (J.M. Lane)
Figure 2. Smallpox infection and death rates of population for base case scenario and for scenario including immunosuppression in model, by age group, New York, NY, USA, and Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. Characteristics (e.g., size, age, immunosuppression rates) of populations from 2015 were used. A) Infection rate 50 and 60 days after start of smallpox outbreak; B) cumulative deaths in population 50 and 60 days after start of smallpox outbreak.
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