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Volume 26, Number 11—November 2020
Dispatch

Potential Role of Social Distancing in Mitigating Spread of Coronavirus Disease, South Korea

Sang Woo ParkComments to Author , Kaiyuan Sun, Cécile Viboud, Bryan T. Grenfell, and Jonathan Dushoff
Author affiliations: Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, USA (S.W. Park, B.T. Grenfell); National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, USA (K. Sun, C. Viboud, B.T. Grenfell); McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada (J. Dushoff)

Main Article

Figure 2

Comparison of reconstructed coronavirus disease incidence proxy and instantaneous reproduction number Rt in Daegu (A, C) and Seoul (B, D), South Korea. The instantaneous reproduction number Rt reflects transmission dynamics at time t. Black lines and gray shading represent the median estimates of reconstructed incidence (A, B) and Rt (C, D) and their corresponding 95% credible intervals. Gray bars show the number of reported cases. Red lines represent the normalized traffic volume (daily traffic, 2020, divided by the mean daily traffic, 2017–2019). Vertical dashed lines indicate February 18, 2020, when the first case was confirmed in Daegu.

Figure 2. Comparison of reconstructed coronavirus disease incidence proxy and instantaneous reproduction number Rt in Daegu (A, C) and Seoul (B, D), South Korea. The instantaneous reproduction number Rt reflects transmission dynamics at time t. Black lines and gray shading represent the median estimates of reconstructed incidence (A, B) and Rt (C, D) and their corresponding 95% credible intervals. Gray bars show the number of reported cases. Red lines represent the normalized traffic volume (daily traffic, 2020, divided by the mean daily traffic, 2017–2019). Vertical dashed lines indicate February 18, 2020, when the first case was confirmed in Daegu.

Main Article

Page created: August 10, 2020
Page updated: October 19, 2020 12:05 PM EDT
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