Volume 26, Number 9—September 2020
    
    Research
Risk-Based Estimate of Human Fungal Disease Burden, China
Table 2
Assumptions and calculations for the estimations of fungal disease burden, China*
| Fungal diseases† | Assumptions | Calculations | 
|---|---|---|
| Candidemia | 1. Candidemia episodes in ICU = (ICU beds × 365/median length of ICU stay) × (rate of candidemia in ICU/1,000 admissions) | Candidemia = Candidemia episodes in ICU/0.20 | 
| 2. 20% of candidemia episodes in Asia occur in ICU | 
||
| Candida peritonitis | 
Rate of Candida peritonitis is 50% of cases of candidemia in ICU | 
Candida peritonitis = candidemia in ICU × 50% | 
| Candida peritonitis CAPD | 1. 3.7% were Candida peritonitis in all episodes of infection | Candida peritonitis CAPD = peritoneal dialysis × 0.27 × 3.7% | 
| 2. Overall infection incidence was 0.27 episodes/patient/ year | 
||
| Oral candidiasis | 
Assumed to occur in 45% of AIDS cases annually | 
Oral candidiasis = AIDS × 45% | 
| Esophageal candidiasis | 
Assumed to occur in 20% of HIV patients not on ART and 5% of patients taking ART annually | 
Esophageal candidiasis = (0.2 × HIV patients not on ART) + (0.05 × HIV patients on ART) | 
| RVVC | 
Assumed to occur in 7.2% of the female population 15–49 years of age | 
RVVC = (female population 15–49) × 7.2% | 
| IA | 1. In hematologic malignancy, annual incidence of all leukemias and multiple myeloma × 40% × 13% | IA = IA in hematologic malignancy + IA in solid and HSCT recipients + IA in lung cancer patients + IA in COPD patients + IA in HIV/AIDS patients | 
| a. Acute myeloid leukemia estimated at 40% of annual incidence of leukemias and multiple myeloma | ||
| b. 13% of patients with acute myeloid leukemia developed IA | 
||
| 2. IA in solid and HSCT recipients: assumed 10% in a-HSCT recipients, 2% of renal transplants, 6% of heart transplants, 4% of liver transplants, 20% of lung transplants | ||
| 3. IA in 2.6% of patients with lung cancer | ||
| 4. IA in COPD: COPD patients × 20.9% × 3.9% | ||
| a. Annual hospitalization rate for COPD = 20.9% | ||
| b. 3.9% of hospitalized COPD patients developed IA | ||
| 5. IA in 4% of HIV/AIDS patients | 
||
| CPA | 1. TB-related CPA: assuming rate of 22% among patients with lung cavities, 2% of patients without cavities | Total CPA = TB-related CPA × 3 | 
| 2. 22% of patients with pulmonary TB have residual lung cavities | ||
| 3. One third of underlying diseases of CPA are TB | 
||
| ABPA | 1. 4.2% of adults in China have asthma | ABPA = adults with asthma × 2.5% | 
| 2. 2.5% of adults with asthma have ABPA | 
||
| SAFS | 1. Assume a conservative 33% rate of fungal sensitization in patients with severe asthma | SAFS = adult population × 33% × 10% | 
| 2. 10% of adults with asthma have severe asthma | 
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| CM | 1. 7.1% of patients with HIV/AIDS | CM = (7.1% × HIV/AIDS patients / 21%) + 0.43/100,000 × child population | 
| 2. HIV-related CM is 21% of total CM | ||
| 3. Annual incidence of 0.43/100,000 in children | 
||
| PCP | 1. 22.4% of HIV-positive patients during a 2y period | PCP = 22.4% × HIV/AIDS patients / 2 / 70.22% | 
| 2. HIV-related PCP is 70.22% of total PCP | 
||
| Talaromycosis | 
Assume 20% of AIDS patients geographically exposed, attack rate 15% | 
Talaromycosis = HIV/AIDS patients × 20% × 15% | 
| Histoplasmosis | 
Assume 67% of AIDS patients geographically exposed, attack rate 5% | 
Histoplasmosis = HIV/AIDS patients × 5% × 67% | 
| Mucormycosis | 
Assume prevalence is 0.2/100,000 in total population | 
Mucormycosis = total population × 0.2/100,000 | 
| Fungal keratitis | 
0.007% of total population | 
Fungal keratitis = total population × 0.007% | 
| Onychomycosis | 2.6% of total population | Onychomycosis = total population × 2.6% | 
*ABPA, allergic bronchopulmonary aspergillosis; ART, antiretroviral therapy; CAPD, continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis; CM, cryptococcal meningitis; CPA, chronic pulmonary aspergillosis; HSCT, hematopoietic stem cell transplant: IA, invasive aspergillosis; ICU, intensive care unit; PCP, pneumocystis pneumonia; RVVC, recurrent Candida vaginitis; SAFS, severe asthma with fungal sensitization.
†Example for reading the table: burden of candidemia = candidemia episodes in ICU / 0.20 = (ICU beds × 365 / median length stay in ICU) × (rate of candidemia in ICU/1000 admissions) /0.20 = (86,027 × 365 / 6.126) × (3.2 / 1000) / 0.20 = 82,011.
1These authors contributed equally to this article.
2These authors contributed equally to this article.