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Volume 27, Number 11—November 2021
Synopsis

Policy Review and Modeling Analysis of Mitigation Measures for Coronavirus Disease Epidemic Control, Health System, and Disease Burden, South Korea

Hae-Young Kim, In-Hwan Oh, Jacob Lee, Jeong-Yeon Seon, Woo-Hwi Jeon, Jae Seok Park, Sung-Il Nam, Niket Thakkar, Prashanth Selvaraj, Jessica McGillen, Daniel Klein, Scott Braithwaite, Anna Bershteyn, and Seung Heon LeeComments to Author 
Author affiliations: New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA (H.-Y. Kim, J. McGillen, S. Braithwaite, A. Bershteyn); Kyung Hee University School of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea (I.-H. Oh, J.-Y. Seon, W.-H. Jeon); Hallym University Kangnam Hospital, Seoul (J. Lee); Keimyung University School of Medicine, Daegu, South Korea (J.S. Park, S.-I. Nam); Institute of Disease Modeling, Seattle, Washington, USA (N. Thakkar, P. Selvaraj, D. Klein); Korea University Ansan Hospital, Ansan, South Korea (S.H. Lee)

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Figure

Estimated and confirmed numbers for coronavirus disease, South Korea, 2020. A) New daily cases; B) hospital census; C) CTC census; D) ICU census; E) cumulative deaths. Gray lines indicate observed data (5,6,9,16). Blue lines indicate estimated numbers with 35%, 50%, and 90% reductions in the basic reproduction number by February 26, February 28, and March 2, respectively, as the status quo. Additional scenarios are shown where R0 was assumed to be reduced by 70% (scenario 1, green line) or stayed the same at 50% (scenario 2, red line) after February 28. CTC, community treatment center; ICU, intensive care unit; R0, basic reproduction number.

Figure. Estimated and confirmed numbers for coronavirus disease, South Korea, 2020. A) New daily cases; B) hospital census; C) CTC census; D) ICU census; E) cumulative deaths. Gray lines indicate observed data (5,6,9,16). Blue lines indicate estimated numbers with 35%, 50%, and 90% reductions in the basic reproduction number by February 26, February 28, and March 2, respectively, as the status quo. Additional scenarios are shown where R0 was assumed to be reduced by 70% (scenario 1, green line) or stayed the same at 50% (scenario 2, red line) after February 28. CTC, community treatment center; ICU, intensive care unit; R0, basic reproduction number.

Main Article

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Page created: July 27, 2021
Page updated: October 19, 2021
Page reviewed: October 19, 2021
The conclusions, findings, and opinions expressed by authors contributing to this journal do not necessarily reflect the official position of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, the Public Health Service, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or the authors' affiliated institutions. Use of trade names is for identification only and does not imply endorsement by any of the groups named above.
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