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Volume 27, Number 5—May 2021
Perspective

Coordinated Strategy for a Model-Based Decision Support Tool for Coronavirus Disease, Utah, USA

Hannah R. Meredith, Emerson Arehart1, Kyra H. Grantz1, Alexander Beams, Theresa Sheets, Richard Nelson, Yue Zhang, Russell G. Vinik, Darryl Barfuss, Jacob C. Pettit, Keegan McCaffrey, Angela C. Dunn, Michael Good, Shannon Frattaroli, Matthew H. Samore, Justin Lessler, Elizabeth C. Lee, and Lindsay T. KeeganComments to Author 
Author affiliations: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA (H.R. Meredith, K.H. Grantz, S. Frattaroli, J. Lessler, E.C. Lee); University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA (E. Arehart, A. Beams, T. Sheets, R. Nelson, Y. Zhang, R.G. Vinik, D. Barfuss, J.C. Pettit, M. Good, M.H. Samore, L.T. Keegan); Utah Department of Health, Salt Lake City (K. McCaffrey, A.C. Dunn); Veterans Affairs Salt Lake City Health Care System, Salt Lake City (M.H. Samore, L.T. Keegan)

Main Article

Figure 2

Example epidemiologic model output presented to stakeholders as part of decision support tool for coronavirus disease, Utah, USA. Model results compare daily incidence across 3 planning scenarios: no interventions, social distancing only, and comprehensive testing only. Bold lines represent the median daily incidence (cases/100,000 population) calculated from 1,000 simulations, whereas the lighter lines represent 15 random example simulations.

Figure 2. Example epidemiologic model output presented to stakeholders as part of decision support tool for coronavirus disease, Utah, USA. Model results compare daily incidence across 3 planning scenarios: no interventions, social distancing only, and comprehensive testing only. Bold lines represent the median daily incidence (cases/100,000 population) calculated from 1,000 simulations, whereas the lighter lines represent 15 random example simulations.

Main Article

1These authors contributed equally to this article.

Page created: March 26, 2021
Page updated: April 20, 2021
Page reviewed: April 20, 2021
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