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Volume 10, Number 4—April 2004
Research

Epidemiologic Determinants for Modeling Pneumonic Plague Outbreaks

Raymond Gani*Comments to Author  and Steve Leach*
Author affiliations: *Centre for Applied Microbiology & Research, Wilts, United Kingdom

Main Article

Table

Documented outbreaks of primary pneumonic plague from which transmission data were derived.

Y and location Total of PP cases in outbreaka No. of PP cases before interventionb Transmission events Average of secondary transmissions per primary transmission
Seattle USA, 1907 (30)
5
5
4
0.8
Oakland USA, 1919 (24)
13
6
12
2.0
Ecuador, 1939 (23)
18
4
6
1.5
Mukden, China, 1946 (25)
39
9
8
0.9
Rangoon, 1946 (31)
16
11
22
2.0
NW Madagascar, 1957 (32)
42
35
39
1.1
Zambia, 1993 (33)
3
3
2
0.7
Madagascar, 1997 (26) 18 1 3 3.0

aIncludes index case.
bOnly includes cases where the infecting person could be identified.

Main Article

Page created: February 09, 2011
Page updated: February 09, 2011
Page reviewed: February 09, 2011
The conclusions, findings, and opinions expressed by authors contributing to this journal do not necessarily reflect the official position of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, the Public Health Service, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or the authors' affiliated institutions. Use of trade names is for identification only and does not imply endorsement by any of the groups named above.
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