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Volume 10, Number 4—April 2004
Research

Epidemiologic Determinants for Modeling Pneumonic Plague Outbreaks

Raymond Gani*Comments to Author  and Steve Leach*
Author affiliations: *Centre for Applied Microbiology & Research, Wilts, United Kingdom

Main Article

Figure 6

Estimates for (A) the cumulative number of people infected from the time of the first infection, and (B) daily number of infected people, where D0 = 1 (black), 5 (red) and 10 (blue). Solid lines represent the median number of cases from multiple iterations (n = 1000) of the model and the dotted lines give the upper and lower 95 percentiles.

Figure 6. Estimates for (A) the cumulative number of people infected from the time of the first infection, and (B) daily number of infected people, where D0 = 1 (black), 5 (red) and 10 (blue). Solid lines represent the median number of cases from multiple iterations (n = 1000) of the model and the dotted lines give the upper and lower 95 percentiles.

Main Article

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