Volume 19, Number 3—March 2013
Research
Effects of Vaccine Program against Pandemic Influenza A(H1N1) Virus, United States, 2009–2010
Table 9
Outcome prevented | Base estimate: 62% vaccine effectiveness 2 wk after dose 2† | Sensitivity estimate (range) |
|
---|---|---|---|
20% Vaccine effectiveness 2 wk after dose 1 and 62% effectiveness 2 wk after dose 2‡ | 40% Vaccine effectiveness 2 wk after dose 1 and 62% effectiveness 2 wk after dose 2§ | ||
Clinical cases | 81,518 (52,081–100,349) | 212,363 (152,420–268,852) | 347,323 (256,510–439,714) |
Hospitalizations | 614 (328–1,090) | 1,473 (906–2,294) | 2,393 (1,520–3,964) |
Deaths | 9 (5–15) | 21 (13–35) | 33 (21–55) |
*Data reflect calculations made for scenario 7 by estimating changes in assumed effectiveness first dose of vaccine among children 6 months–9 years of age.
†1 dose achieves 0% effectiveness against clinical cases, hospitalizations, and deaths; 2nd dose 4 wk later is 62% effective against hospitalizations and deaths 2 weeks after administration.
‡1 dose achieves 20% effectiveness against clinical cases, hospitalizations, and deaths after 2 wk; 2nd dose 4 wk later achieves 62% against hospitalizations and deaths 2 weeks after administration.
§1 dose achieves 40% effectiveness against clinical cases, hospitalizations, and deaths after 2 wk; 2nd dose 4 wk later achieves 62% against hospitalizations and deaths 2 weeks after administration.
1Current affiliation: Merck & Co., Inc., Lansdale, Pennsylvania, USA.