Figure 2. Model fits and forecasts used to evaluate the benefits and risks of introducing Ebola community care centers into Western Area, Sierra Leone. A) Reported cases over time. Black points show reported incidence data. B) No. patients in ETC beds. Blue lines to the left of the dashed vertical divides show the median estimate; blues line to the right of the dashed vertical divides show forecast with no change in number of ETC beds; green lines show forecast if 500 ETC beds are introduced on December 15, 2014. Shaded areas represent 95% credible interval, which reflects uncertainty about reporting and model parameters; darker shading indicates overlap between 2 forecasts. Estimates were scaled depending on the number of daily situation reports issued by the Sierra Leone Ministry of Health and Sanitation each week (see https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B_BzCqSK1DZaYnRoeWtHOTU2TVk/). ETC, Ebola treatment center.