Table 6

Volume 23, Number 11—November 2017

Weather-Dependent Risk for Legionnaires’ Disease, United States

Jacob E. Simmering, Linnea A. Polgreen, Douglas B. Hornick, Daniel K. Sewell, and Philip M. Polgreen

Author affiliations: The University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa, USA

Estimated probability of Legionnaires’ disease given bacterial pneumonia in a 61–70-year-old white man on Medicare located at 42°N, admitted to a hospital in April 2011*

	Probability of Legionnaires’ disease by rainfall level
Relative	<60°F			60°F–80°F			>80°F
humidity, %	Dry	Normal	Wet	Dry	Normal	Wet	Dry	Normal	Wet
0.0–50.0	1.46	1.98	2.13	0.81	1.10	1.18	2.28	3.08	3.31
50.1–55.0	1.24	1.68	1.81	1.13	1.53	1.64	0	0	0
55.1–60.0	0.86	1.16	1.25	0.72	0.98	1.06	0	0	0
60.1–65.0	0.97	1.32	1.42	1.15	1.56	1.68	1.86	2.52	2.71
65.1–70.0	1.16	1.57	1.69	1.44	1.95	2.10	1.13	1.53	1.64
70.1–75.0	1.17	1.59	1.72	1.88	2.54	2.74	0.71	0.96	1.03
75.1–80.0	1.12	1.52	1.63	1.99	2.69	2.90	1.59	2.16	2.32
80.1–100.0	0.95	1.29	1.39	2.46	3.32	3.57	0	0	0

*Because of the presence of month, latitude, and year in the model, these predicted probabilities are valid only on a line along 42°N in April 2011. The predicted values for other months (e.g., July or December) will differ, as will the predicted values for locations further north or south than 42°N. Dry, <18 mm; normal, 18–85.85 mm; wet, >85.85 mm.

Main Article

Page created: October 16, 2017

Page updated: October 16, 2017

Page reviewed: October 16, 2017

The conclusions, findings, and opinions expressed by authors contributing to this journal do not necessarily reflect the official position of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, the Public Health Service, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or the authors' affiliated institutions. Use of trade names is for identification only and does not imply endorsement by any of the groups named above.

Volume 23, Number 11—November 2017

Research

Weather-Dependent Risk for Legionnaires’ Disease, United States

Table 6