Skip directly to site content Skip directly to page options Skip directly to A-Z link Skip directly to A-Z link Skip directly to A-Z link
Volume 24, Number 10—October 2018
Research

Evaluation of Nowcasting for Detecting and Predicting Local Influenza Epidemics, Sweden, 2009–2014

Armin SprecoComments to Author , Olle Eriksson, Örjan Dahlström, Benjamin John Cowling, and Toomas Timpka
Author affiliations: Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden (A. Spreco, O. Eriksson, Ö. Dahlström, T. Timpka); Center for Health Services Development, Region Östergötland, Linköping (A. Spreco, T. Timpka); Hong Kong University, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China (B.J. Cowling)

Main Article

Table 1

Epidemic intensity categories used to interpret performance measurements in evaluation of nowcasting for detection and prediction of local influenza epidemics, Sweden, 2009–2014*

Intensity level
 Threshold, cases/d/100,000 population
2008–09
 2009 pandemic
 2010–11
 2011–12
 2012–13
 2013–14
Nonepidemic <0.9 <0.9 <0.9 <1.0 <1.2 <1.2
Low 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.2
Medium 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.8 2.9
High 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.2 5.6 5.5
Very high 7.9 7.5 7.5 7.1 7.7 7.4

*Based on (8).

Main Article

Page created: September 14, 2018
Page updated: September 14, 2018
Page reviewed: September 14, 2018
The conclusions, findings, and opinions expressed by authors contributing to this journal do not necessarily reflect the official position of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, the Public Health Service, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or the authors' affiliated institutions. Use of trade names is for identification only and does not imply endorsement by any of the groups named above.
file_external