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Volume 24, Number 10—October 2018

Evaluation of Nowcasting for Detecting and Predicting Local Influenza Epidemics, Sweden, 2009–2014

Armin SprecoComments to Author , Olle Eriksson, Örjan Dahlström, Benjamin John Cowling, and Toomas Timpka
Author affiliations: Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden (A. Spreco, O. Eriksson, Ö. Dahlström, T. Timpka); Center for Health Services Development, Region Östergötland, Linköping (A. Spreco, T. Timpka); Hong Kong University, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China (B.J. Cowling)

Main Article

Table 1

Epidemic intensity categories used to interpret performance measurements in evaluation of nowcasting for detection and prediction of local influenza epidemics, Sweden, 2009–2014*

Intensity level
Threshold, cases/d/100,000 population
2009 pandemic
Nonepidemic <0.9 <0.9 <0.9 <1.0 <1.2 <1.2
Low 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.2
Medium 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.8 2.9
High 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.2 5.6 5.5
Very high 7.9 7.5 7.5 7.1 7.7 7.4

*Based on (8).

Main Article

Page created: September 14, 2018
Page updated: September 14, 2018
Page reviewed: September 14, 2018
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