Volume 26, Number 1—January 2020
Research
Outbreak of Peste des Petits Ruminants among Critically Endangered Mongolian Saiga and Other Wild Ungulates, Mongolia, 2016–2017
Table 2
Date | Days since first PPR confirmation | Total effort, km | No. individuals (groups) | Density of individuals (95% CI) | Abundance (95% CI) | Expected cluster size (95% CI) | Average probability of detecting live saiga |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2017 Jan | 30 | 1,505 | 2,130 (321) | 1.18 (0.88–1.58) | 25,699 (19,249–34,310) | D: 3.9 (3.2–4.8); K: 4.1 (3.4–4.9); S: 6.3 (4.8–8.4) | D: 0.35 (0.29–0.43); K: 0.37 (0.31–0.43); S: 0.42 (0.35–0.50) |
2017 Mar | 90 | 1,505 | 1,999 (148) | 0.73 (0.45–1.20) | 15,933 (9,759–26,011) | D: 10.9 (7.5–16.1); K: 13.5 (9.5–19.2); S: 5.4 (4.2–7.0) | D: 0.44 (0.36–0.55); K: 0.69 (0.51–0.94); S: 0.60 (0.50–0.71) |
2017 May | 150 | 1,263 | 742 (157) | 0.41 (0.28–0.58) | 8,806 (6,095–12,721) | D: 2.6 (2.1–3.3); K: 2.7 (2.2–3.3); S: 2.4 (1.7–3.6) | 0.51 (0.45–0.57) |
2018 Apr | 480 | 1,505 | 369 (46) | 0.24 (0.14–0.42) | 5,142 (2,929–9,028) | D: 11.7 (7.5–18.1); K: 10.9 (6.1–19.6); S: 6.3 (4.4–8.9) | 0.51 (0.40–0.65) |
*D, Durgun Steppe; K, Khuisiin Gobi; PPR, peste des petits ruminants; S, Sharga Gobi.
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