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Volume 26, Number 5—May 2020
Research

Effectiveness of Live Poultry Market Interventions on Human Infection with Avian Influenza A(H7N9) Virus, China

Wei Wang1, Jean Artois1, Xiling Wang, Adam J. Kucharski, Yao Pei, Xin Tong, Victor Virlogeux, Peng Wu, Benjamin J. Cowling, Marius Gilbert2, and Hongjie Yu2Comments to Author 
Author affiliations: Fudan University School of Public Health, Shanghai, China (W. Wang, X. Wang, Y. Pei, X. Tong, H. Yu); Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium (J. Artois, M. Gilbert); London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK (A.J. Kucharski); École Normale Supérieure de Lyon, Lyon, France (V. Virlogeux); Cancer Research Center of Lyon, Lyon (V. Virlogeux); School of Public Health, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China (V. Virlogeux, P. Wu, B.J. Cowling); Fonds National de la Recherche Scientifique, Brussels (M. Gilbert)

Main Article

Table 2

Parameter estimation of infection rates before and after live poultry market closures in the 2016–17 influenza A(H7N9) epidemic wave, China.

Site no.
Type of closure
Expected daily no. infections (95% CI)
Reduction in no. infections after closure, % (95% CI)
Reproduction number (95% CI)
Before closure
After closure
1 Permanent 0.230 (0.121–0.372) 0.006 (0.000–0.023) 97.0 (94.0–100.0) 0.147 (0.034–0.285)
2 Long 0.340 (0.171–0.540) 0.034 (0.009–0.073) 90.0 (87.0–95.0)
3 Long 0.120 (0.037–0.248) 0.010 (0.000–0.033) 92.0 (87.0–100.0)
4 Long 0.390 (0.183–0.648) 0.018 (0.000–0.064) 95.0 (90.0–100.0)
5 Long 0.460 (0.231–0.763) 0.008 (0.000–0.033) 98.0 (96.0–100.0)
6 Long 0.040 (0.014–0.089) 0.022 (0.003–0.058) 48.0 (35.0–81.0)
7 Recursive 0.162 (0.037–0.229) 0.107 (0.012–0.301) 34.0 (15.0–70.0)
7 Short 0.107 (0.012–0.301) 0.029 (0.005–0.068) 73.0 (53.0–77.0)
8 Short 0.190 (0.062–0.379) 0.008 (0.000–0.028) 96.0 (93.0–99.0)
9 Long 0.120 (0.050–0.220) 0.019 (0.002–0.055) 84.0 (75.0–96.0)
10 Long 0.090 (0.032–0.176) 0.001 (0.000–0.035) 89.0 (80.0–99.0)
11 Long 0.110 (0.037–0.229) 0.009 (0.000–0.035) 92.0 (84.0–99.0)
12 Long 0.090 (0.029–0.193) 0.020 (0.002–0.054) 78.0 (72.0–92.0)
13 Long 0.220 (0.048–0.518) 0.031 (0.008–0.069) 86.0 (83.0–87.0)
14 Long 0.190 (0.066–0.374) 0.016 (0.000–0.052) 92.0 (86.0–100.0)
15 Short 0.350 (0.117–0.728) 0.019 (0.002–0.055) 95.0 (92.0–98.0)
16 Recursive 0.210 (0.068–0.400) 0.060 (0.002–0.211) 71.0 (47.0–97.0)
17 Long 0.140 (0.044–0.295) 0.022 (0.003–0.062) 84.0 (79.0–94.0)

Main Article

1These authors contributed equally to this article.

2These authors are joint senior authors.

Page created: April 16, 2020
Page updated: April 16, 2020
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