Table 2

Effectiveness of Live Poultry Market Interventions on Human Infection with Avian Influenza A(H7N9) Virus, China

Wei Wang¹, Jean Artois¹, Xiling Wang, Adam J. Kucharski, Yao Pei, Xin Tong, Victor Virlogeux, Peng Wu, Benjamin J. Cowling, Marius Gilbert², and Hongjie Yu²

Author affiliations: Fudan University School of Public Health, Shanghai, China (W. Wang, X. Wang, Y. Pei, X. Tong, H. Yu); Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium (J. Artois, M. Gilbert); London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK (A.J. Kucharski); École Normale Supérieure de Lyon, Lyon, France (V. Virlogeux); Cancer Research Center of Lyon, Lyon (V. Virlogeux); School of Public Health, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China (V. Virlogeux, P. Wu, B.J. Cowling); Fonds National de la Recherche Scientifique, Brussels (M. Gilbert)

Main Article

Parameter estimation of infection rates before and after live poultry market closures in the 2016–17 influenza A(H7N9) epidemic wave, China.

Site no.	Type of closure	Expected daily no. infections (95% CI)		Reduction in no. infections after closure, % (95% CI)	Reproduction number (95% CI)
Site no.	Type of closure	Before closure	After closure	Reduction in no. infections after closure, % (95% CI)	Reproduction number (95% CI)
1	Permanent	0.230 (0.121–0.372)	0.006 (0.000–0.023)	97.0 (94.0–100.0)	0.147 (0.034–0.285)
2	Long	0.340 (0.171–0.540)	0.034 (0.009–0.073)	90.0 (87.0–95.0)
3	Long	0.120 (0.037–0.248)	0.010 (0.000–0.033)	92.0 (87.0–100.0)
4	Long	0.390 (0.183–0.648)	0.018 (0.000–0.064)	95.0 (90.0–100.0)
5	Long	0.460 (0.231–0.763)	0.008 (0.000–0.033)	98.0 (96.0–100.0)
6	Long	0.040 (0.014–0.089)	0.022 (0.003–0.058)	48.0 (35.0–81.0)
7	Recursive	0.162 (0.037–0.229)	0.107 (0.012–0.301)	34.0 (15.0–70.0)
7	Short	0.107 (0.012–0.301)	0.029 (0.005–0.068)	73.0 (53.0–77.0)
8	Short	0.190 (0.062–0.379)	0.008 (0.000–0.028)	96.0 (93.0–99.0)
9	Long	0.120 (0.050–0.220)	0.019 (0.002–0.055)	84.0 (75.0–96.0)
10	Long	0.090 (0.032–0.176)	0.001 (0.000–0.035)	89.0 (80.0–99.0)
11	Long	0.110 (0.037–0.229)	0.009 (0.000–0.035)	92.0 (84.0–99.0)
12	Long	0.090 (0.029–0.193)	0.020 (0.002–0.054)	78.0 (72.0–92.0)
13	Long	0.220 (0.048–0.518)	0.031 (0.008–0.069)	86.0 (83.0–87.0)
14	Long	0.190 (0.066–0.374)	0.016 (0.000–0.052)	92.0 (86.0–100.0)
15	Short	0.350 (0.117–0.728)	0.019 (0.002–0.055)	95.0 (92.0–98.0)
16	Recursive	0.210 (0.068–0.400)	0.060 (0.002–0.211)	71.0 (47.0–97.0)
17	Long	0.140 (0.044–0.295)	0.022 (0.003–0.062)	84.0 (79.0–94.0)

Main Article

¹These authors contributed equally to this article.

²These authors are joint senior authors.

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