Volume 26, Number 7—July 2020
Research
High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2
Figure 5
![Estimation of the basic reproductive number (R0), derived by integrating uncertainties in parameter values, during the 2019 novel coronavirus disease outbreak in China. A) Changes in R0 based on different growth rates and serial intervals. Each dot represents a calculation with mean latent period (range 2.2–6 days) and mean infectious periods (range 4–14 days). Only those estimates falling within the range of serial intervals of interests were plotted. B) Histogram summarizing the estimated R0 o](/eid/images/20-0282-F5.jpg)
Figure 5. Estimation of the basic reproductive number (R0), derived by integrating uncertainties in parameter values, during the coronavirus disease outbreak in China. A) Changes in R0 based on different growth rates and serial intervals. Each dot represents a calculation with mean latent period (range 2.2–6 days) and mean infectious periods (range 4–14 days). Only those estimates falling within the range of serial intervals of interests were plotted. B) Histogram summarizing the estimated R0 of all dots in panel A (i.e., serial interval ranges of 6–9 days). The median R0 is 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9).
1These first authors contributed equally to this article.
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