Volume 26, Number 8—August 2020
Research
Evaluating the Effectiveness of Social Distancing Interventions to Delay or Flatten the Epidemic Curve of Coronavirus Disease
Laura Matrajt
and Tiffany Leung
and Tiffany Leung
Figure 3
Figure 3. Number of ascertained coronavirus disease (identified cases over time calculated by mathematical model) with adults reducing their contact by 25% (A, B); 75% (C, D); and 95% (E, F). We used parameter values of R0 = 3, γ = 1/5.02, σ = 1/5.16. Dotted lines represent the beginning and end of the 6-week social distancing interventions, after which contact rates return to normal. For panels A, C, and E, intervention starts at day 50 after identification of first case; for panels B, D, and F, intervention starts at day 80 after identification of first case.
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