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Volume 28, Supplement—December 2022
SUPPLEMENT ISSUE
Surveillance

Comparison of COVID-19 Pandemic Waves in 10 Countries in Southern Africa, 2020–2021

Joshua Smith-SreenComments to Author , Bridget Miller, Alinune N. Kabaghe, Evelyn Kim, Nellie Wadonda-Kabondo, Alean Frawley, Sarah Labuda, Eusébio Manuel, Helga Frietas, Anne C. Mwale, Tebogo Segolodi, Pauline Harvey, Onalenna Seitio-Kgokgwe, Alfredo E. Vergara, Eduardo S. Gudo, Eric J. Dziuban, Naemi Shoopala, Jonas Z. Hines, Simon Agolory, Muzala Kapina, Nyambe Sinyange, Michael Melchior, Kelsey Mirkovic, Agnes Mahomva, Surbhi Modhi, Stephanie Salyer, Andrew S. Azman, Catherine McLean, Lul P. Riek, Fred Asiimwe, Michelle Adler, Sikhatele Mazibuko, Velephi Okello, and Andrew F. Auld
Author affiliations: Public Health Institute/US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Global Health Fellowship Program, Lilongwe, Malawi (J. Smith-Sreen, B. Miller); Malawi Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Lilongwe (A.N. Kabaghe, E. Kim, N. Wadonda-Kabondo, A.F. Auld); Angola Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Luanda, Angola (A. Frawley, S. Labuda); Angola Ministry of Health, Luanda (E. Manuel, H. Frietas); Public Health Institute of Malawi (PHIM), Lilongwe (A.C. Mwale); Botswana Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Gaborone, Botswana (T. Segolodi, P. Harvey); Botswana Ministry of Health and Wellness, Gaborone (O. Seitio-Kgokgwe); Mozambique Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Maputo, Mozambique (A.E. Vergara); Mozambique National Institute for Health, Maputo (A.E. Vergara, E.J. Gudo); Namibia Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Windhoek, Namibia (E.J. Dziuban); Namibia Ministry of Health and Social Services, Windhoek (N. Shoopala); Zambia; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Lusaka, Zambia (J.Z. Hines, S. Agolory); Zambia National Public Health Institute (ZNPHI), Lusaka (M. Kapina, N. Sinyange); Zimbabwe Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Harare, Zimbabwe (M. Melchior, K. Mirkovic); Zimbabwe Office of the President and Cabinet, Harare (A. Mahomva); US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA (S. Modi, S.J. Salyer, C. McLean); Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia (S.J. Salyer, L.P. Riek); Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA (A.S. Azman); Lesotho Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Maseru, Lesotho (F. Asiimwe); Eswatini Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Lobamba, Swaziland (M. Adler, S. Mazibuko); Eswatini Ministry of Health, Lobamba (V. Okello); The Global Fund, Geneva, Switzerland (A.F. Auld)

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Table 3

Overall genomic surveillance comparison across 3 COVID-19 pandemic waves for 10 countries in southern Africa, March 1, 2020–September 6, 2021*

Measure Before wave 2 start After wave 2 start, before wave 3 start After wave 3 start Overall
Total no. (%) specimens,†
5,543 (23.8)
7,660 (32.9)
10,103 (43.3)
23,306 (100)
Originating country, no. (%)
Angola 615 (11.1) 264 (3.4) 20 (0.2) 899 (3.9)
Botswana 83 (1.5) 216 (2.8) 799 (7.9) 1098 (4.7)
Eswatini 11 (0.2) 77 (1.0) 34 (0.3) 122 (0.5)
Lesotho 2 (<0.1) 16 (0.2) 0 18 (0.1)
Malawi 16 (0.3) 391 (5.1) 104 (1.0) 511 (2.2)
Mozambique 126 (2.3) 388 (5.1) 66 (0.7) 580 (2.5)
Namibia 19 (0.3) 196 (2.6) 48 (0.5) 263 (1.1)
South Africa 4,013 (72.4) 5,601 (73.1) 8,850 (87.6) 18,464 (79.2)
Zambia 426 (7.7) 182 (2.4) 84 (0.8) 692 (3.0)
Zimbabwe
232 (4.2)
329 (4.3)
98 (1.0)
659 (2.8)
Submitting country, no. (%)
Botswana 83 (1.5) 216 (2.8) 799 (7.9) 1,098 (4.7)
Germany‡ 1 (<0.1) 64 (0.8) 47 (0.5) 112 (0.5)
Malawi 14 (0.3) 8 (0.1) 38 (0.4) 60 (0.3)
South Africa 4,794 (86.5) 6,910 (90.2) 9,135 (90.4) 20,839 (89.4)
Spain‡ 13 (0.2) 117 (1.5) 0 130 (0.6)
United Kingdom‡ 210 (3.8) 189 (2.5) 0 399 (1.7)
United States‡ 0 12 (0.2) 0 12 (0.1)
Zambia
426 (7.7)
144 (1.9)
84 (0.8)
654 (2.8)
Patient sex, no. (%)
F 2,951 (53.2) 4,053 (52.9) 5,695 (56.4) 12,699 (54.5)
M 2,132 (38.5) 3,274 (42.7) 4,044 (40.0) 9,450 (40.5)
Unknown
460 (8.3)
333 (4.3)
364 (3.6)
1,157 (5.0)
Patient age, y, median (IQR)
37 (27–50)
37 (25–52)
39 (27–54)
38 (26–52)
Genomic surveillance coverage,† median (IQR)
1.55 (0.66–2.79)
3.76 (2.68–4.56)
3.98 (3.37–4.58)
3.48 (2.70–4.44)
Detected SARS-CoV-2 variants, no. (%)§
Alpha, B.1.1.7 + Q.x 33 (0.6) 158 (2.1) 168 (1.7) 359 (1.5)
Beta, B.1.351 + B.1.351.x 749 (13.7) 6,176 (80.6) 1,493 (14.8) 8,418 (36.2)
Delta, B.1.617.2 + AY.x 0 129 (1.7) 7,454 (73.8) 7,583 (32.6)
Gamma, P.1 + P.1.x 1 (<0.1) 0 1 (<0.1) 2 (<0.1)
Variant of interest 0 1 (<0.1) 0 1 (<0.1)
Variant under monitoring 9 (0.2) 37 (0.5) 174 (1.7) 220 (0.9)
Former variant of interest 2 (<0.1) 1 (<0.1) 1 (<0.1) 4 (<0.1)
Lineages with no WHO label 4,673 (85.3) 1,155 (15.1) 812 (8.0) 6,640 (28.6)
January 2020 strain 14 (0.3) 3 (<0.1) 0 17 (0.1)

*Source: GISAID (https://www.gisaid.org), accessed 2021 Sep 20. IQR, interquartile range; World Health Organization. †Genomic surveillance coverage was defined as the number of reported cases per million per sample sequenced. A country with a higher number of reported cases per million per sample sequenced has lower genomic surveillance coverage than a country with a lower number of reported cases per million per sample sequenced. ‡Germany submitted sequences for specimens collected in Mozambique (n = 1), Namibia (n = 73), Zambia (n = 38). Spain submitted sequences for specimens collected in Mozambique (n = 130). UK submitted sequences for specimens collected in Zimbabwe (n = 401). The United States submitted sequences for specimens collected in South Africa (n = 12). §Specimens were classified using labels defined by the World Health Organization (Appendix Table 2).

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Page created: July 12, 2022
Page updated: December 11, 2022
Page reviewed: December 11, 2022
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