Volume 9, Number 5—May 2003
Research
Pandemic Influenza and Healthcare Demand in the Netherlands: Scenario Analysis
Marianne L.L. van Genugten*
, Marie-Louise A. Heijnen*, and Johannes C. Jager*
, Marie-Louise A. Heijnen*, and Johannes C. Jager*
Table 4
Alternative age-specific attack rates in scenario analysis for pandemic influenza, the Netherlandsa
| Age (y) | Age groups affected as in regular epidemic | Age groups equally affected | Age groups affected in proportion of |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:1:2 | 1:2:1 | 2:1:1 | Previous pandemicsb | ||||
| <19 |
37.4 |
30.0 |
26.4 |
18.5 |
48.3 |
49.3 |
|
| 20–64 |
28.6 |
30.0 |
26.4 |
37.0 |
24.1 |
25.6 |
|
| >65 | 23.1 | 30.0 | 52.9 | 18.5 | 24.1 | 15.0 | |
aGross attack rate 30%.
bDistribution from Meltzer et al. (9) based on previous pandemics.
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