Volume 15, Number 3—March 2009
Research
Capacity of Thailand to Contain an Emerging Influenza Pandemic
Table 1
Selected resources | Province resources available† (range) | Province resources needed† | Correlation with province resources |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Population | Population density | GPP | Poultry density | |||
Hospitals‡ | 14 (3–36) | 15 | 0.129 | −0.113 | 0.008 | 0.531 |
Health centers§ |
133 (21–403) |
143 |
0.327 |
−0.270 |
−0.143 |
0.511 |
Infrastructure (no. beds) | ||||||
Negative-pressure rooms (single bed) | 13 (1–38) | 13 | 0.482 | −0.006 | −0.096 | 0.331 |
Isolation beds | 9 (1–117) | 9 | 0.725¶ | 0.812 | 0.261 | −0.045 |
Single-occupancy room beds | 158 (24–2,942) | 158 | 0.785 | 0.880 | 0.206 | −0.029 |
ICU beds | 37 (4–605) | 37 | 0.817 | 0.842 | 0.172 | −0.044 |
General medicine beds | 134 (6–1,301) | 134 | 0.818 | 0.833 | 0.180 | −0.004 |
Other beds (OB/GYN, surgical, etc.) | 1,066 (90–4,377) | 1,184 | 0.763 | 0.575 | 0.160 | 0.190 |
Child beds |
80 (21–814) |
80 |
0.848 |
0.832 |
0.187 |
−0.047 |
Personnel | ||||||
SRRT personnel | 202 (50–604) | 223 | 0.580 | −0.013 | −0.100 | 0.325 |
Internal medicine doctors | 43 (1–670) | 44 | 0.817 | 0.834 | 0.180 | 0.005 |
Pediatricians | 25 (1–336) | 25 | 0.828 | 0.841 | 0.216 | 0.021 |
Radiologists | 6 (0–117) | 6 | 0.805 | 0.791 | 0.159 | −0.010 |
Pathologists | 9 (0–111) | 9 | 0.617 | 0.571 | 0.114 | 0.331 |
Other physicians# | 241 (32–2,229) | 251 | 0.806 | 0.791 | 0.160 | 0.004 |
Critical care nurses | 34 (0–535) | 34 | 0.766 | 0.833 | 0.202 | 0.024 |
General nurses | 1,219 (176–9,831) | 1,284 | 0.919 | 0.832 | 0.187 | 0.091 |
Health officer in health center§ | 322 (72–977) | 345 | 0.363 | −0.265 | −0.209 | 0.444 |
Village health volunteer§ |
10,424 (1,500–49,597) |
11,006 |
0.442 |
−0.218 |
−0.296 |
0.411 |
Materials | ||||||
Ambulances | 25 (8–79) | 28 | 0.619 | 0.235 | 0.091 | 0.333 |
Patient transportation vehicles | 96 (24–324) | 104 | 0.521 | −0.019 | −0.123 | 0.259 |
Portable radiography machine | 10 (3–100) | 11 | 0.599 | 0.547 | 0.147 | 0.064 |
Adult (Bird’s and volume) respirator | 90 (8–1,076) | 96 | 0.850 | 0.803 | 0.228 | 0.082 |
Children’s volume respirator | 24 (0–212) | 25 | 0.596 | 0.514 | 0.175 | 0.165 |
Vital sign machine | 280 (14–1,723) | 302 | 0.560 | 0.250 | −0.037 | 0.182 |
Oximeter | 70 (4–813) | 74 | 0.810 | 0.770 | 0.132 | 0.025 |
Disposable gowns | 1,328 (93–17,249) | 1,377 | 0.737 | 0.717 | 0.181 | 0.054 |
N95 masks | 6,681 (1,247–27,721) | 7,181 | 0.517 | 0.304 | 0.021 | 0.108 |
Surgical masks | 16,031 (673–211,411) | 16,440 | 0.349 | 0.472 | −0.013 | −0.080 |
Plastic face shields | 541 (52–4,366) | 567 | 0.349 | 0.092 | −0.046 | 0.005 |
Goggles | 919 (204–6,220) | 961 | 0.643 | 0.550 | 0.199 | 0.044 |
Surgical gloves | 64,757 (605–731,117) | 66,201 | 0.583 | 0.456 | −0.015 | 0.118 |
Surgical hats | 9,558 (390–234,955) | 9,861 | 0.843 | 0.865 | 0.178 | 0.100 |
Rapid test kit for influenza | 544 (62–3,005) | 576 | 0.366 | 0.267 | −0.021 | 0.111 |
Swab bags | 630 (0–10,901) | 669 | 0.228 | −0.028 | −0.021 | −0.001 |
Oseltamivir tablets | 14,525 (1,290–60,110) | 14,854 | 0.175 | 0.065 | 0.028 | −0.072 |
Viral transport media | 231 (35–818) | 249 | 0.539 | 0.283 | −0.014 | 0.159 |
Body bags | 129 (0–1,050) | 145 | 0.432 | 0.551 | 0.138 | 0.097 |
Lime (10-kg bags) | 67 (0–1,008) | 71 | 0.225 | −0.051 | −0.048 | 0.048 |
Chlorine (50-kg bags) | 211 (0–10,121) | 206 | −0.071 | 0.079 | 0.067 | −0.065 |
Sodium hypochlorite (1 L) | 1,570 (0–50,190) | 1,540 | 0.061 | 0.085 | 0.223 | 0.048 |
*GPP, gross provincial product; SRRT, surveillance and rapid response team; ICU, intensive care unit; OB/GYN, obstetricians/gynecologists. Data sources: Population and population density data are from the Department of Provincial Administration, 2007; GPP is from 2005 data from the National Economic and Social Development Board; poultry density was determined from the number of chickens and ducks in each province in 2006 from the Information and Statistics Group, Information Technology Centre, Department of Livestock Development, Bangkok, Thailand.
†Average. Missing district-level data are estimated.
‡Excludes private hospitals in Bangkok.
§Excludes data from Bangkok.
¶Boldface indicates that correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
#General practitioners, surgeons, OB/GYN, etc.