Volume 9, Number 5—May 2003
Research
Pandemic Influenza and Healthcare Demand in the Netherlands: Scenario Analysis
Marianne L.L. van Genugten*
, Marie-Louise A. Heijnen*, and Johannes C. Jager*
, Marie-Louise A. Heijnen*, and Johannes C. Jager*
Table 3
Hospitalizations and deaths in the scenario analysis of influenza pandemica
| Scenario | No. of hospitalizations | No. of deaths | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Gross attack rate 10% | Gross attack rate 50% | Base case | Gross attack rate 10% | Gross attack rate 50% | |
| Nonintervention | 10,186 | 3,395 | 16,977 | 4,040 | 1,347 | 6,733 |
| Influenza vaccination | ||||||
| Total population | 3,847 | 1,282 | 6,412 | 1,738 | 579 | 2,896 |
| Risk groups | 3,968 | 1,223 | 6,614 | 1,789 | 596 | 2,981 |
| Pneumococcal vaccination | 7,008 | 2,326 | 11,679 | 3,903 | 1,301 | 6,505 |
| Neuraminidase inhibitors | 5,093 | 1,698 | 8,489 | 2,020 | 673 | 3,367 |
aAssuming gross attack rates of 10% and 50%.
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